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  3. German intelligence warns Putin preparing Nato assault by end of decade

German intelligence warns Putin preparing Nato assault by end of decade

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  • T [email protected]

    you're right, and phrases like "america isn't america any more" probably aren't really constructive, now that i stop to think about what i wrote. it actually plays to the kind of shit they're trying to do right now with the smithsonian. so i regret writing that. thanks for pointing it out.

    donantoniomagino@feddit.nlD This user is from outside of this forum
    donantoniomagino@feddit.nlD This user is from outside of this forum
    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #96

    Eh, no worries.

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    • e8d79@discuss.tchncs.deE [email protected]

      This is an incredibly dangerous assumption. According to the Federation of American Scientists Russia has a stockpile of 4489 warheads of which some 1674 strategic warheads are deployed on ballistic missiles.[1]
      A large part of these warheads might be defective but realistically you only need a handful of working ones.
      Russia also has the necessary material and infrastructure to keep their warheads in working order.[2]
      So while their capabilities compared to the USSR are greatly diminished there is no reason to assume that Russias nukes are all broken.

      [1] https://fas.org/publication/nuclear-notebook-russian-nuclear-weapons-2023/
      [2] https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002-10/features/breakdown-breakout-us-and-russian-warhead-production-capabilities

      G This user is from outside of this forum
      G This user is from outside of this forum
      [email protected]
      wrote on last edited by
      #97

      I'm not saying to assume they don't all work. I'm saying to diaregard their threats of using thembecause they likely won't.

      e8d79@discuss.tchncs.deE 1 Reply Last reply
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      • gradually_adjusting@lemmy.worldG [email protected]

        If Russia gets ambiguously belligerent with a small NATO ally (someplace like Lithuania) and everyone's suddenly saying "we have to go to war over THAT?" and American corporate media starts framing the use of article 5 as escalatory, that's your cue that phase 1 is complete.

        D This user is from outside of this forum
        D This user is from outside of this forum
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        wrote on last edited by
        #98

        Danzig or war situation.

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        • Z [email protected]
          This post did not contain any content.
          D This user is from outside of this forum
          D This user is from outside of this forum
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          wrote on last edited by
          #99

          I hope Putin dies before that. And in such a personal regime his dead and the consequent fight for power could lead to big changes in Russia.

          So let's hope Zelensky was right, and it's sooner than later.

          I 1 Reply Last reply
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          • Z [email protected]
            This post did not contain any content.
            N This user is from outside of this forum
            N This user is from outside of this forum
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            wrote on last edited by
            #100

            Wouldn’t Russia have to suddenly produce a lot more young men who are still alive to invade any more countries?

            ? kolanaki@pawb.socialK A L 4 Replies Last reply
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            • richardisaguy@lemmy.worldR [email protected]

              Trump might be an idiot, but he is not so much of an idiot to take on the entirety of Europe, who, likely when this happens will have new allies besides the US

              E This user is from outside of this forum
              E This user is from outside of this forum
              [email protected]
              wrote on last edited by
              #101

              Trump might be an idiot, but he is not so much of an idiot

              I'm gonna stop you right there. Every time we underestimate Trump he shows there is no low and/or stupidity he won't sink to. He's credibly accused of being a Russian asset and has done everything Putin could have possibly wanted in terms of weakening western power and alliances. In like3 months. Do I think he'll attack the UK or something? No. But he may very well do everything possible to help Russia, including giving them weapons and hurting their enemies...

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              • D [email protected]

                I hope Putin dies before that. And in such a personal regime his dead and the consequent fight for power could lead to big changes in Russia.

                So let's hope Zelensky was right, and it's sooner than later.

                I This user is from outside of this forum
                I This user is from outside of this forum
                [email protected]
                wrote on last edited by
                #102

                His replacement is going to have to do something big to legitimize their rule

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                • D [email protected]

                  where are we? the war thunder forums?

                  snowpix@lemmy.caS This user is from outside of this forum
                  snowpix@lemmy.caS This user is from outside of this forum
                  [email protected]
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #103

                  Nothing spills military secrets like having to be right on the internet!

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • N [email protected]

                    Wouldn’t Russia have to suddenly produce a lot more young men who are still alive to invade any more countries?

                    ? Offline
                    ? Offline
                    Guest
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #104

                    Why produce when you can kidnap and pressgang from Ukraine?

                    D 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • E [email protected]

                      Kremlin believed that Ukraine was a country that would fall to their knees, bend over and happily join them.

                      Now they are taking their time and bomb civilians to force them to do that.

                      They are taking their time. This is not an inability. This is deliberate breaking of Ukraine's back.

                      A This user is from outside of this forum
                      A This user is from outside of this forum
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                      wrote on last edited by
                      #105

                      Thank you for reminding me to block lemm.ee with your sad propaganda

                      kerntucky@infosec.pubK E 2 Replies Last reply
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                      • R [email protected]

                        America is going to be balls deep in greenland and europe will not go to war over THAT.

                        T This user is from outside of this forum
                        T This user is from outside of this forum
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                        wrote on last edited by
                        #106

                        If the EU won't consider themselves to be at war when the part of the EU defensive pact zone that is called Greenland is invaded, they're losing all credibility both internally and externally. Why would the EU defend Finland or the Baltics or Cyprus? Why would the EU organize against foreign powers funding violent rebellions inside EU territory (similar to how Russia funded Transnistria or the US funded the contras in Nicaragua)?

                        There is no better red line for France to launch their nukes than the invasion of Greenland. As seen with Russia, any grace given to cult of personality dictators only emboldens them and their worshipers. The only fair response to madman theory is to call the 'insane' administration's bluff and let the people who don't want them and their families to become radioactive piles of ash take the responsibility of defying insane orders.

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                        • N [email protected]

                          Wouldn’t Russia have to suddenly produce a lot more young men who are still alive to invade any more countries?

                          kolanaki@pawb.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                          kolanaki@pawb.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                          [email protected]
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #107

                          Men who are still alive

                          Oh no... Putin found Dunharrow. Being alive isn't needed.

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                          • captain_aggravated@sh.itjust.worksC [email protected]

                            If we keep it conventional, we could bring about a new dark age. It would have to go nuclear before we start wondering if the deep sea tube worms will survive. We can definitely end humanity unilaterally, we might need Russia's help to boil the oceans.

                            T This user is from outside of this forum
                            T This user is from outside of this forum
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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #108

                            Nuclear war would actually cool the oceans. All nuclear bombs combined contain about the same energy as Hurricane Katrina or a small supervolcano eruption. There would be a small fraction of a degree of temporary increase in global atmospheric temperatures, quickly overwhelmed by the nuclear winter as ash and dust in the upper atmosphere reduce global temperatures by several degrees for several years.

                            The only way I see humanity boiling the oceans is by deliberately releasing global-industrial quantities of super-effective greenhouse gases, actively designed to make the Earth as well-insulated as possible.

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                            • A [email protected]

                              Thank you for reminding me to block lemm.ee with your sad propaganda

                              kerntucky@infosec.pubK This user is from outside of this forum
                              kerntucky@infosec.pubK This user is from outside of this forum
                              [email protected]
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #109

                              Interesting. Why block the whole instance? Have you seen a lot of lemm.ee users parroting propaganda? I didn't realize that instance was so bad.

                              A 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • kerntucky@infosec.pubK [email protected]

                                Interesting. Why block the whole instance? Have you seen a lot of lemm.ee users parroting propaganda? I didn't realize that instance was so bad.

                                A This user is from outside of this forum
                                A This user is from outside of this forum
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                                wrote on last edited by
                                #110

                                Over the months the amount of shit from that instance has convinced me they have zero value or worth, among others

                                I mean, ymmv, for all I know their ideals may resonate with you, but for me I am more than convinced it is a proper choice.

                                On reddit, 2/3rds of the time I spent there in the last few years has been blocking people to curate my engagement

                                Lemmy makes it so easy, I don't have to do it one at a time now.

                                So my procedure is thus: after the 5 rancid comments in a day from users of any given instance, I go and browse the instance. If I keep finding unchallenged rancid replies, then fuck that instance. Lemm.ee has been on my radar for a while now

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                                • N [email protected]

                                  Wouldn’t Russia have to suddenly produce a lot more young men who are still alive to invade any more countries?

                                  A This user is from outside of this forum
                                  A This user is from outside of this forum
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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #111

                                  If only they had an asset in the US who could provide those.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • A [email protected]

                                    Thank you for reminding me to block lemm.ee with your sad propaganda

                                    E This user is from outside of this forum
                                    E This user is from outside of this forum
                                    [email protected]
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #112

                                    How is this propaganda?

                                    A 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • P [email protected]

                                      But it only takes one to ruin a weekend.

                                      S This user is from outside of this forum
                                      S This user is from outside of this forum
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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #113

                                      I don't think at that point my weekend is ruined. It's more like it has ceased to exist. Or matter.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • N [email protected]

                                        Wouldn’t Russia have to suddenly produce a lot more young men who are still alive to invade any more countries?

                                        L This user is from outside of this forum
                                        L This user is from outside of this forum
                                        [email protected]
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #114

                                        No, it'd have to ensure France. Which means if they struck France could nuke Moscow. If. Anyone in Russia gave a shit, they'd slaughter Putin family now.

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                                        • ? Guest

                                          Maybe. There's no guarantee that every European nation would be on board with sanctioning the US in this scenario.

                                          The Netherlands (where I believe they have the only manufacturing base of the machines that make advanced chips) might decide that it's not in their best interest to cut the US off.

                                          Anyways I hope this Greenland shenanigans dies on the vine and my silly scenario never comes to pass.

                                          ? Offline
                                          ? Offline
                                          Guest
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #115

                                          Yes ASML is only in netherlands. Nothing else on earth produces EUV lithography machines of that scale. It's a single monopoly

                                          Also netherlands & Hungary definitely won't sanction usa, they love trump

                                          K 1 Reply Last reply
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