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  3. Poland only has enough supplies to fight war “for a week or two”, says security chief

Poland only has enough supplies to fight war “for a week or two”, says security chief

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  • misk@sopuli.xyzM [email protected]

    The head of President Andrzej Duda’s National Security Bureau (BBN), Dariusz Łukowski, has warned that Poland only has enough ammunition to defend itself “for a week or two” if it was attacked by Russia

    But his remarks have been criticised as “outrageous” by a deputy defence minister, who says they are not true and will be exploited by Poland’s enemies.

    G This user is from outside of this forum
    G This user is from outside of this forum
    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #15

    please..Poland can get to Moscow and Putin in matter of hours..

    K 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • misk@sopuli.xyzM [email protected]

      The head of President Andrzej Duda’s National Security Bureau (BBN), Dariusz Łukowski, has warned that Poland only has enough ammunition to defend itself “for a week or two” if it was attacked by Russia

      But his remarks have been criticised as “outrageous” by a deputy defence minister, who says they are not true and will be exploited by Poland’s enemies.

      N This user is from outside of this forum
      N This user is from outside of this forum
      [email protected]
      wrote on last edited by
      #16

      Even if this is true (very big IF), why would you publish that? The OpSec makes no sense. Are they trying to bait Russia into attacking to get a unified response? That seems like an incredibly risky move.

      misk@sopuli.xyzM S V 3 Replies Last reply
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      • misk@sopuli.xyzM [email protected]

        I wish I shared your optimism but reality calls for a cold shower.

        • France/UK along most of the Western Europe was never at a real risk of war unless they started it on their own. They don’t have their skin in the game, they won’t risk anything big. People there want to live their lives undisturbed and will vote Le Pen / Farage if they are pulled into conflict.
        • Russia won’t nuke Tallin obviously because of proximity to St Petersburg, but what would be the response to a quick land grab? Words of concern probably, unless Nordics step up on their own because they’re next.
        • Nobody nukes anybody for a long time realistically because nobody is going to use nukes first and they’re not going to use nukes as a response to a conventional attack. It also looks embarrassing to nuclear powers, which is why Russia didn’t use nukes against Ukraine even though they considered it according to US intel.

        Anybody glassing Poland means things got really bad but ethics didn’t stop those plans in the 80s and I think existential threat would be enough to go back to the basics.

        T This user is from outside of this forum
        T This user is from outside of this forum
        [email protected]
        wrote on last edited by
        #17

        You are aware that french nuclear doctrine famously includes the nuclear warning shot? As in, nuke something and tell them "keep coming closer to France and the next one hits your capital".

        misk@sopuli.xyzM 1 Reply Last reply
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        • T [email protected]

          You are aware that french nuclear doctrine famously includes the nuclear warning shot? As in, nuke something and tell them "keep coming closer to France and the next one hits your capital".

          misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
          misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
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          wrote on last edited by
          #18

          Nuclear doctrine is whatever you decide to show your enemies with whatever intention you might hold. Declassified plans from Cold War show that Russians assumed as much.

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          • N [email protected]

            Even if this is true (very big IF), why would you publish that? The OpSec makes no sense. Are they trying to bait Russia into attacking to get a unified response? That seems like an incredibly risky move.

            misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
            misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
            [email protected]
            wrote on last edited by
            #19

            Political infighting is the reason but this is likely true. Most countries of this size have reserves for weeks of conventional warfare at most unless they massively stockpile.

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            • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deS [email protected]

              there's not that many of them and one Trident missile costs only $31M

              misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
              misk@sopuli.xyzM This user is from outside of this forum
              [email protected]
              wrote on last edited by
              #20

              It was a bit of a joke referencing that Poland stocked up on HIMARS which as a system got a very good press in Ukraine but is also mighty expensive. Politicians did it for ratings but no further thinking was involved in that decision. It took just a year or two of war in Ukraine to make this kind of weaponry obsolete because drones can do same thing for cheaper.

              The reason polish military expenditure looks so impressive is that we waste money like that. But this is also what Trump wants to achieve by making NATO members increase their spending - they will have to buy lots of American arms because they’re one of the few places capable of delivering required quantities.

              skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deS 1 Reply Last reply
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              • misk@sopuli.xyzM [email protected]

                It was a bit of a joke referencing that Poland stocked up on HIMARS which as a system got a very good press in Ukraine but is also mighty expensive. Politicians did it for ratings but no further thinking was involved in that decision. It took just a year or two of war in Ukraine to make this kind of weaponry obsolete because drones can do same thing for cheaper.

                The reason polish military expenditure looks so impressive is that we waste money like that. But this is also what Trump wants to achieve by making NATO members increase their spending - they will have to buy lots of American arms because they’re one of the few places capable of delivering required quantities.

                skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
                skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
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                wrote on last edited by
                #21

                there's technology transfer from koreans https://www.polska-zbrojna.pl/home/ArticleShow/42536

                also not everything can be done with drones, for some time-sensitive targets you need speed that MLRS delivers

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                • G [email protected]

                  please..Poland can get to Moscow and Putin in matter of hours..

                  K This user is from outside of this forum
                  K This user is from outside of this forum
                  [email protected]
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #22

                  Only if Finland doesn't do it first

                  G 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • M [email protected]

                    Poland most likely has a lot of factories producing ammunition for Ukraine. In case of war, those would not go to Ukraine anymore.

                    K This user is from outside of this forum
                    K This user is from outside of this forum
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                    wrote on last edited by
                    #23

                    Simplify the supply line. Instead of Poland → Ukraine → Russia it becomes Poland → Russia

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                    • N [email protected]

                      Even if this is true (very big IF), why would you publish that? The OpSec makes no sense. Are they trying to bait Russia into attacking to get a unified response? That seems like an incredibly risky move.

                      S This user is from outside of this forum
                      S This user is from outside of this forum
                      [email protected]
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #24

                      If you cannot achieve things going in the internal channels you sometimes have to go public, so that the public outrage forces change.

                      As for Russia, i am sure they have a better idea of each EU countries stockpiles than some of the military experts in these countries.

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                      • N [email protected]

                        Even if this is true (very big IF), why would you publish that? The OpSec makes no sense. Are they trying to bait Russia into attacking to get a unified response? That seems like an incredibly risky move.

                        V This user is from outside of this forum
                        V This user is from outside of this forum
                        [email protected]
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #25

                        Obviously to provoke oponent reaction. Nothing risky at all since we have not invented teleportation yet. You underestimate amount of satelites looking at russia border after posting this information.

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                        • misk@sopuli.xyzM [email protected]

                          The head of President Andrzej Duda’s National Security Bureau (BBN), Dariusz Łukowski, has warned that Poland only has enough ammunition to defend itself “for a week or two” if it was attacked by Russia

                          But his remarks have been criticised as “outrageous” by a deputy defence minister, who says they are not true and will be exploited by Poland’s enemies.

                          archmageazor@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                          archmageazor@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                          [email protected]
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #26

                          That's why European countries shouldn't fight wars by themselves. Europe is a union, it should act as one entity.

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                          • K [email protected]

                            Only if Finland doesn't do it first

                            G This user is from outside of this forum
                            G This user is from outside of this forum
                            [email protected]
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #27

                            don't let me stop you :)) joint action?

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