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  3. Could global warming make Antarctica habitable?

Could global warming make Antarctica habitable?

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  • H [email protected]
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    wrote on last edited by [email protected]
    #3

    Not in a meaningful timeframe, I think. Even if we get a worst case outcome (say +5°C by 2100, ongoing warming), permanent land ice in Antarctica will likely take many hundreds, or even thousands of years to melt entirely.

    It's always going to have frozen winters with lots of snow, due to the long dark polar winter.. I guess some boreal tundra species could survive that, but farming is probably unlikely to be viable, I would guess.

    thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT A 2 Replies Last reply
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    • actionjbone@sh.itjust.worksA [email protected]

      Yes, while simultaneously making huge swaths of the rest of the world uninhabitable.

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      wrote on last edited by
      #4

      plus, the archipelago under the ice is likely smaller then the land we will loose from rising sea levels.

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      • S [email protected]

        plus, the archipelago under the ice is likely smaller then the land we will loose from rising sea levels.

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        wrote on last edited by
        #5

        As long as we evolve gills and start drinking our own piss we should be fine.

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          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          Besides temperature there's the issue of sunlight.
          We'd need plants for agriculture adapted to a completely new life cycle.

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            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            Sure, for whatever replaces us.

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              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              In short, no. Not at least outside of a vast geological timeframe. Antarctica was once habitable around 100 million years ago, and that was only because it was part of a supercontinent located much further north than its current location.

              Even if the earth warmed enough to melt the ice at the poles, its location would basically make it impossible to maintain a complex ecology suitable to life. The light cycle of roughly 24 hours of light in the summer and 24 hours of darkness in the winter would preclude the needed agriculture requirements needed to sustain any meaningful population.

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              • F [email protected]

                As long as we evolve gills and start drinking our own piss we should be fine.

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                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                ...Start?

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                • F [email protected]

                  Besides temperature there's the issue of sunlight.
                  We'd need plants for agriculture adapted to a completely new life cycle.

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                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  There are several Arctic civilizations that subsist on a meat heavy diet.

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                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    Define "habitable".

                    Several countries maintain year round outposts. The facilities are generally used for science and claiming territory, but tourism is becoming bigger and restrictions on mining and fishing may go away. That could create economically sustainable communities, even if they rely on trade for their non-fish food.

                    Beyond that, I doubt that the continent could sustain more life than it currently has unless parts of the continent were forested.

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                    • N [email protected]

                      Not in a meaningful timeframe, I think. Even if we get a worst case outcome (say +5°C by 2100, ongoing warming), permanent land ice in Antarctica will likely take many hundreds, or even thousands of years to melt entirely.

                      It's always going to have frozen winters with lots of snow, due to the long dark polar winter.. I guess some boreal tundra species could survive that, but farming is probably unlikely to be viable, I would guess.

                      thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
                      thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
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                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      i was reading about how the penguins create a bunch of weather in Antarctica with their fields of poop. It causes lots of snow storms because the ammonia and other components of the their waste, seed the moisture in the air to create weather patterns.

                      so they might be keeping chunks of Antarctica snow covered and they would have to be displaced before any real changes would happen. the ice melt wouldn't stop them from moving further inland

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                      • H [email protected]
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                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        Its already technically habitable. The knife and some associated islands that stick up and sorta point toward south america have year around settlements but they are basically army bases. They have schools and post offices and such though.

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                          wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          If we are talking about sustaining agriculture, likely not but it wouldn't be a heat related problem.

                          Any decent plant growth needs a soil base, and Antarctica's soil is likely to be incredibly shallow and not bioactive. If you look at places like Iceland and the Scottish Highlands, those places lost a lot of soil as forestry removed the topsoil protection. You would need to implement significant resources into improving very marginal agricultural land.

                          Also, while the continent is covered in ice, there isn't much in terms of precipitation.

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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            Before that happens, we'll see the thawing of Canadian permafrost.

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                              wrote on last edited by
                              #16

                              Could be but I am afraid we, all, will not be able to see it.

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                              • H [email protected]

                                If we are talking about sustaining agriculture, likely not but it wouldn't be a heat related problem.

                                Any decent plant growth needs a soil base, and Antarctica's soil is likely to be incredibly shallow and not bioactive. If you look at places like Iceland and the Scottish Highlands, those places lost a lot of soil as forestry removed the topsoil protection. You would need to implement significant resources into improving very marginal agricultural land.

                                Also, while the continent is covered in ice, there isn't much in terms of precipitation.

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                                wrote on last edited by
                                #17

                                If it gets hot enough to melt Antarctica, no telling what rainfall patterns will emerge.

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                                • T [email protected]

                                  In short, no. Not at least outside of a vast geological timeframe. Antarctica was once habitable around 100 million years ago, and that was only because it was part of a supercontinent located much further north than its current location.

                                  Even if the earth warmed enough to melt the ice at the poles, its location would basically make it impossible to maintain a complex ecology suitable to life. The light cycle of roughly 24 hours of light in the summer and 24 hours of darkness in the winter would preclude the needed agriculture requirements needed to sustain any meaningful population.

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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #18

                                  Light cycles were the first thing I thought of too. OTOH, buddy of mine grew up in Alaska, said they grew strawberries the size of your first in the summer.

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                                  • F [email protected]

                                    Besides temperature there's the issue of sunlight.
                                    We'd need plants for agriculture adapted to a completely new life cycle.

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                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #19

                                    Was thinking on all this and just watched a YT short on Alaskans competing to grow monster vegetables. Apparently 20 hours of summer light works out!

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                                    • thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT [email protected]

                                      i was reading about how the penguins create a bunch of weather in Antarctica with their fields of poop. It causes lots of snow storms because the ammonia and other components of the their waste, seed the moisture in the air to create weather patterns.

                                      so they might be keeping chunks of Antarctica snow covered and they would have to be displaced before any real changes would happen. the ice melt wouldn't stop them from moving further inland

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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #20

                                      At least some penguin species need sea ice to breed, and Antarctic sea ice extent has dropped off a cliff in the last decade (a starting in 2016) (source: went to a plenary about sea ice at the AMOS conference in Aus at the end of June)

                                      I think what ever happens in Antarctica, it's likely to be complex...

                                      thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • N [email protected]

                                        At least some penguin species need sea ice to breed, and Antarctic sea ice extent has dropped off a cliff in the last decade (a starting in 2016) (source: went to a plenary about sea ice at the AMOS conference in Aus at the end of June)

                                        I think what ever happens in Antarctica, it's likely to be complex...

                                        thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
                                        thisbenzingring@lemmy.sdf.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
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                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #21

                                        the article I was referring to is in the latest science news

                                        https://www.sciencenews.org/article/penguin-poop-climate-change-antarctica

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                                        • N [email protected]

                                          Not in a meaningful timeframe, I think. Even if we get a worst case outcome (say +5°C by 2100, ongoing warming), permanent land ice in Antarctica will likely take many hundreds, or even thousands of years to melt entirely.

                                          It's always going to have frozen winters with lots of snow, due to the long dark polar winter.. I guess some boreal tundra species could survive that, but farming is probably unlikely to be viable, I would guess.

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                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #22

                                          Earlier tonight I was watching a video going over sone climate predictions. There was a legit worst case scenario of an ice-free Arctic Ocean as early as 2030. Once one pole goes, it’s hard to see the other tensing frozen much longer

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