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  3. US strikes on Iran may strengthen North Korea’s nuclear resolve, experts warn

US strikes on Iran may strengthen North Korea’s nuclear resolve, experts warn

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  • bombomom@lemmy.worldB [email protected]

    Why the hell would you want Iran to have nukes? Just because Israel and/or US bad, doesn't mean Iran is good. Far, far from it.

    N This user is from outside of this forum
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    wrote on last edited by
    #10

    Iran isn't good, but the kind of bad it does isn't the kind nukes would have an impact on. Meanwhile a nuclear armed Iran wouldn't be bombed by Israel year in and year out.

    Z 1 Reply Last reply
    2
    • bombomom@lemmy.worldB [email protected]

      It was attempted many times by South Korea, by the US, and by others to get North Korea to trash their nuclear program. It didn't work.

      The world learned if a country isn't giving up their nuclear program, even with large incentives to do so, one cannot just hope things change in the future. That baseless hope is how we got a nuclear armed North Korea. The world learned, and a different strategy is being taken with Iran.

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      wrote on last edited by
      #11

      even with large incentives to do so,

      What large incentives? Obviously talking about Iran here.

      C 1 Reply Last reply
      2
      • bombomom@lemmy.worldB [email protected]

        Why the hell would you want Iran to have nukes? Just because Israel and/or US bad, doesn't mean Iran is good. Far, far from it.

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        wrote on last edited by
        #12

        Because it would be a meaningful check against Israel
        and the US which are relentlessly belligerent and the source of most of the violence in the region.

        M 1 Reply Last reply
        4
        • P [email protected]
          This post did not contain any content.
          tempus_fugit@midwest.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
          tempus_fugit@midwest.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
          [email protected]
          wrote on last edited by
          #13

          Well no shit. Countries with nukes aren't likely to be invaded or bombed. I bet Ukraine is kicking themselves for getting rid of the ones they had. I wouldn't be surprised if this kick-starts a new wave of nuclear proliferation, and I can't say I'd blame those countries.

          S 1 Reply Last reply
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          • N [email protected]

            even with large incentives to do so,

            What large incentives? Obviously talking about Iran here.

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            wrote on last edited by
            #14

            Nuclear energy program assistance.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • N [email protected]

              Iran isn't good, but the kind of bad it does isn't the kind nukes would have an impact on. Meanwhile a nuclear armed Iran wouldn't be bombed by Israel year in and year out.

              Z This user is from outside of this forum
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              wrote on last edited by
              #15

              Assad gazed Syrian rebels, so I don't think the Guardians of the Revolution wouldn't nuke a rebelled city. That would stop the revolt instantly.

              N 1 Reply Last reply
              1
              • X [email protected]

                Because it would be a meaningful check against Israel
                and the US which are relentlessly belligerent and the source of most of the violence in the region.

                M This user is from outside of this forum
                M This user is from outside of this forum
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                wrote on last edited by [email protected]
                #16

                No it wouldn't, Iran would use them immediately to destroy Israel and let themselves be destroyed in retaliation.

                That's 100% what would happen. There is no possible deviance, the second Iran gets the bomb, it will use it.

                V X 2 Replies Last reply
                0
                • X [email protected]

                  They should manufacture and sell nukes to Iran. Seriously.

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                  wrote on last edited by
                  #17

                  Yes, let's give nukes to a theocratic regime bent on destorying the west. That will own the libs.

                  X 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • Z [email protected]

                    Assad gazed Syrian rebels, so I don't think the Guardians of the Revolution wouldn't nuke a rebelled city. That would stop the revolt instantly.

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                    wrote on last edited by
                    #18

                    They would if it was only their moral integrity stopping them, but they wouldn't because doing such a thing would destroy their international standing and immediately start a regional war with generous Western involvement if not outright belligerency. In other words: They wouldn't use a nuke against a regional adversary for the same reason North Korea hasn't nuked South Korea. There's a limit to how far you can push nukes and, counterintuitively, actually using them goes beyond that limit. If anything, it's countries with actual muscle like China, US and its allies and to a lesser extent Russia that could actually use a nuke and (comparatively) get away with it.

                    Z 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • N [email protected]

                      They would if it was only their moral integrity stopping them, but they wouldn't because doing such a thing would destroy their international standing and immediately start a regional war with generous Western involvement if not outright belligerency. In other words: They wouldn't use a nuke against a regional adversary for the same reason North Korea hasn't nuked South Korea. There's a limit to how far you can push nukes and, counterintuitively, actually using them goes beyond that limit. If anything, it's countries with actual muscle like China, US and its allies and to a lesser extent Russia that could actually use a nuke and (comparatively) get away with it.

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                      wrote on last edited by
                      #19

                      Not against q regional adversary. But against their own population, they would.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • P [email protected]
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                        wrote on last edited by
                        #20

                        Trump fawns over Kim so hard I wouldn't be surprised if he just provides nukes to NK if Kim asks him nicely.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • bombomom@lemmy.worldB [email protected]

                          consistently want to be left alone to do their thing

                          They consistently want to extract economic and food assistance from other countries via threatening all kinds of shit. But otherwise, yes.

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                          wrote on last edited by
                          #21

                          Does that propaganda line make sense if you think about it deeply? Stop repeating it!

                          Let me explain. The whole idea that North Korea "threatens the world to extract aid" is pure Western propaganda. It completely ignores history and the actual situation on the ground.

                          First off, the Korean War never officially ended. They signed an armistice in 1953, not a peace treaty. So North Korea has been living under constant military threat from the US and its allies for over 70 years. That includes nukes pointed at them and massive military exercises happening right near their borders.

                          Second, North Korea is one of the most heavily sanctioned countries on the planet. Those sanctions, pushed by the US, have crippled their economy and blocked access to food, medicine, and basic resources. When they try to negotiate for food or economic assistance, it gets framed as extortion, but the reality is they are trying to survive in a system designed to isolate and starve them.

                          Their missile tests and military displays are not random threats. They are a form of deterrence. Even mainstream scholars like John Mearsheimer recognize that smaller, isolated states under constant threat will use military posturing to prevent invasion.

                          On top of that, the history of negotiations shows it is often the US that breaks agreements. Look at the 1994 Agreed Framework. It collapsed largely because the US failed to follow through, not because North Korea suddenly decided to flip the table.

                          Leftist voices like Noam Chomsky have been saying for decades that the outrage over North Korean weapons is pure hypocrisy. The US has the biggest nuclear arsenal in the world and uses its military power to bully smaller nations constantly.

                          Bottom line, the "they threaten to get aid" narrative strips away all context. It is designed to justify aggression and keep dehumanizing them. It ignores that North Korea's actions are shaped by decades of sanctions, military threats, and isolation.

                          bombomom@lemmy.worldB 1 Reply Last reply
                          2
                          • M [email protected]

                            No it wouldn't, Iran would use them immediately to destroy Israel and let themselves be destroyed in retaliation.

                            That's 100% what would happen. There is no possible deviance, the second Iran gets the bomb, it will use it.

                            V This user is from outside of this forum
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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #22

                            Wtf are you on about? It’s called mutually assured destruction, not immediately assured destruction.

                            Why are you implying that they have no brains and can’t reason or use common sense like all people? That’s racist as fuck.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            3
                            • M [email protected]

                              No it wouldn't, Iran would use them immediately to destroy Israel and let themselves be destroyed in retaliation.

                              That's 100% what would happen. There is no possible deviance, the second Iran gets the bomb, it will use it.

                              X This user is from outside of this forum
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                              [email protected]
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #23

                              That just isn’t consistent with the behavior we’ve seen from Iran for decades. They have acted rationally over and over again, trying to avoid conflict, de-escalating when attacked (to their own detriment IMO), signing and complying with treaties. There’s a lot of anti-west sentiment in Iran, sure, but given what the west has done to them for a century, that’s very very rational. Why should I believe that such rational people would ignore the principle of Mutually Assured Destruction that’s prevented all nuclear powers from using the weapons so far?

                              I’ve been hearing this alarmist rhetoric about Iran here in the US my entire life and I just cannot reconcile it with what I see them do.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              4
                              • R [email protected]

                                Yes, let's give nukes to a theocratic regime bent on destorying the west. That will own the libs.

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                                wrote on last edited by
                                #24

                                That’s rich, given the religious extremists that hold all the power in the US and Israel. Remind me again, which country launched this war?

                                R 1 Reply Last reply
                                2
                                • X [email protected]

                                  That’s rich, given the religious extremists that hold all the power in the US and Israel. Remind me again, which country launched this war?

                                  R This user is from outside of this forum
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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #25

                                  Remind me again, which country launched this war?

                                  Iran's proxy.

                                  X 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • R [email protected]

                                    Remind me again, which country launched this war?

                                    Iran's proxy.

                                    X This user is from outside of this forum
                                    X This user is from outside of this forum
                                    [email protected]
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #26

                                    The one resisting a violent occupation? That one?

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    2
                                    • tempus_fugit@midwest.socialT [email protected]

                                      Well no shit. Countries with nukes aren't likely to be invaded or bombed. I bet Ukraine is kicking themselves for getting rid of the ones they had. I wouldn't be surprised if this kick-starts a new wave of nuclear proliferation, and I can't say I'd blame those countries.

                                      S This user is from outside of this forum
                                      S This user is from outside of this forum
                                      [email protected]
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #27

                                      I don't blame any country who wants nukes as long as the Obese idiots have them.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • 3 [email protected]

                                        Does that propaganda line make sense if you think about it deeply? Stop repeating it!

                                        Let me explain. The whole idea that North Korea "threatens the world to extract aid" is pure Western propaganda. It completely ignores history and the actual situation on the ground.

                                        First off, the Korean War never officially ended. They signed an armistice in 1953, not a peace treaty. So North Korea has been living under constant military threat from the US and its allies for over 70 years. That includes nukes pointed at them and massive military exercises happening right near their borders.

                                        Second, North Korea is one of the most heavily sanctioned countries on the planet. Those sanctions, pushed by the US, have crippled their economy and blocked access to food, medicine, and basic resources. When they try to negotiate for food or economic assistance, it gets framed as extortion, but the reality is they are trying to survive in a system designed to isolate and starve them.

                                        Their missile tests and military displays are not random threats. They are a form of deterrence. Even mainstream scholars like John Mearsheimer recognize that smaller, isolated states under constant threat will use military posturing to prevent invasion.

                                        On top of that, the history of negotiations shows it is often the US that breaks agreements. Look at the 1994 Agreed Framework. It collapsed largely because the US failed to follow through, not because North Korea suddenly decided to flip the table.

                                        Leftist voices like Noam Chomsky have been saying for decades that the outrage over North Korean weapons is pure hypocrisy. The US has the biggest nuclear arsenal in the world and uses its military power to bully smaller nations constantly.

                                        Bottom line, the "they threaten to get aid" narrative strips away all context. It is designed to justify aggression and keep dehumanizing them. It ignores that North Korea's actions are shaped by decades of sanctions, military threats, and isolation.

                                        bombomom@lemmy.worldB This user is from outside of this forum
                                        bombomom@lemmy.worldB This user is from outside of this forum
                                        [email protected]
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #28

                                        When they try to negotiate for food or economic assistance, it gets framed as extortion

                                        When one threatens death and destruction in exchange for money and goods, one does frame that as extortion, yes.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
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