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  3. The World Is Warming Up. And It’s Happening Faster. | Human-caused global warming has been increasing faster and faster since the 1970s.

The World Is Warming Up. And It’s Happening Faster. | Human-caused global warming has been increasing faster and faster since the 1970s.

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  • S [email protected]
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    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #21

    This is how feedback loops behave. Climate scientists have been ignoring them in their models for decades, now it is becoming too obvious to ignore. They still don't want to acknowledge the endpoint.

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    • johnedwa@sopuli.xyzJ [email protected]

      The Holocene extinction event is just going to be the sixth one so far, and it certainly won't be the last. As the saying goes, "life finds a way".
      We just won't be around to see it.

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      wrote on last edited by
      #22

      When the seas are boiling and everything else is hotter than that, I don't think so.
      If that was the case, why isn't there life on Venus?

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      • S [email protected]
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        paragone@lemmy.worldP This user is from outside of this forum
        paragone@lemmy.worldP This user is from outside of this forum
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        wrote on last edited by
        #23

        There is a dead-simple concept that humankind has been ignoring.

        The SPEED of climate-change is following a curve similar to a bell-curve:

        it was at zero.

        it will, in the end, in the new climate-equilibrium, be zero.

        Between, however, it will accelerate until it reaches a peak-speed, & then slow-down to the new climate-equilibrium.

        Obviously, we're still in the accelerating-part of the curve.

        Obviously, if the past accelerating-curve is matched by future decelerating-towards-zero duration, then the total planetary-heating we're in-for is MUCH more than what "consensus" "science" asserted.

        Equally obviously, it'll accelerate faster & faster until it reaches its peak-acceleration, & then it'll slow in acceleration until the peak-speed-of-change is reached, remain there for awhile before beginning deceleration..

        This simple, basic concept, that the general shape of a ClimatePunctuation is roughly bell-curved for speed, should identify the minimum-magnitude of change, for all..

        So should the powerlaw underlying the change, which shows that for the current CO2 we're aiming at a minimum of +6C, but when methane is included, then we're aiming into a minimum of +9C.

        No, MSM isn't going to be either honest or proactive,

        so just expect more incredulity, more normalization-of-disinformation, more "the evidence contradicts the valid-model" "science", & more .. essentially, filibustering to prevent any competent mitigation.

        The bell-curve-shape of the speed-of-change & the powerlaw underlying the planetary-equilibrium-temperature are both profound, don't care who says what, & work.

        They're trustworthy..

        The disinformation-pushers, however, profit in social-status from what they're doing, so that'll continue, until the very end.

        Here's the powerlaw without including methane: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature19798

        When I added-in the methane, & the proper timescale for adding it in is 12y, apparently ( presume that we'll keep adding more & more of it, too, as that's what the evidence declares ), which makes it much more significant than I'd thought.. ( methane has a short halflife in the atmosphere, so the longer you measure a particular input's effect, the weaker it gets. That means, though, that the ever-increasing amount we're measuring in our atmosphere is directly due to ever-increasing amount of methane-release, not to accumulation-of-previous-releases. )

        _ /\ _

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