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  3. Donald Trump could struggle to force Europe's hand on China

Donald Trump could struggle to force Europe's hand on China

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    wrote on last edited by
    #1
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      dzso@lemmy.worldD This user is from outside of this forum
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      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      He doesn't have the cards.

      almacca@aussie.zoneA L N 3 Replies Last reply
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        wrote on last edited by
        #3
        1. Burn all bridges
        2. Demand assistance
        3. ???
        4. Win

        And that kids ishlw you play 7D chess

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          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          [...] the notion that Europe would be forced to choose between the two countries "doesn't allow much room for the idea of European Union agency or any recognition of its major significance as a commercial bloc."

          Exactly this, Europe will not ditch either anytime soon.

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          • dzso@lemmy.worldD [email protected]

            He doesn't have the cards.

            almacca@aussie.zoneA This user is from outside of this forum
            almacca@aussie.zoneA This user is from outside of this forum
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            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            And if he did, he probably try to eat them.

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            • H [email protected]

              [...] the notion that Europe would be forced to choose between the two countries "doesn't allow much room for the idea of European Union agency or any recognition of its major significance as a commercial bloc."

              Exactly this, Europe will not ditch either anytime soon.

              T This user is from outside of this forum
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              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Canada is definitely ditching the US, why shouldn't Europe. As an American who will b negatively impacted, I can't help but still encourage it.

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                Canada is definitely ditching the US, why shouldn't Europe. As an American who will b negatively impacted, I can't help but still encourage it.

                H This user is from outside of this forum
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                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                They should definitely keep a safe distance from the dumpster fire the US is now, but the EU still very much needs the US: America has the command and intel structure needed to deter and maybe even fight back Russia, almost all governments work with American tech (Windows, Office, iPhones, AWS and cyber security tech like from Crowd strike), financial systems are based on us techs and the big corpos are very intertwined, also big law firms operate on both sides of the Atlantic, same goes for (social) media. European governments just can't switch to a different brand of coke like individual consumers do. Same goes for china, they basically produce everything more complex than a patato and if it's made in Vietnam or Cambodja or whatever, China might still be involved.

                Long story short, EU can't pick a side and sit out the storm. If things went different I totally would have seen EU siding with their American ally, but that bridge has obviously been burned.

                Can definitely recommend reading the article if you want to better understand why the US will not be able to 'win over' the EU. It's a good read.

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                • dzso@lemmy.worldD [email protected]

                  He doesn't have the cards.

                  L This user is from outside of this forum
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                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  Did he say thank you?

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                  • dzso@lemmy.worldD [email protected]

                    He doesn't have the cards.

                    N This user is from outside of this forum
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                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    He's never played with a full deck anyway.

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                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      Trump struggles with everything.

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                      • H [email protected]

                        [...] the notion that Europe would be forced to choose between the two countries "doesn't allow much room for the idea of European Union agency or any recognition of its major significance as a commercial bloc."

                        Exactly this, Europe will not ditch either anytime soon.

                        S This user is from outside of this forum
                        S This user is from outside of this forum
                        [email protected]
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        Exclusive: EU explores tweaking methane rules for US gas to help trade talks, sources say https://lemm.ee/post/61953004

                        Exactly this, Europe will ditch China soon.

                        H 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • H [email protected]

                          They should definitely keep a safe distance from the dumpster fire the US is now, but the EU still very much needs the US: America has the command and intel structure needed to deter and maybe even fight back Russia, almost all governments work with American tech (Windows, Office, iPhones, AWS and cyber security tech like from Crowd strike), financial systems are based on us techs and the big corpos are very intertwined, also big law firms operate on both sides of the Atlantic, same goes for (social) media. European governments just can't switch to a different brand of coke like individual consumers do. Same goes for china, they basically produce everything more complex than a patato and if it's made in Vietnam or Cambodja or whatever, China might still be involved.

                          Long story short, EU can't pick a side and sit out the storm. If things went different I totally would have seen EU siding with their American ally, but that bridge has obviously been burned.

                          Can definitely recommend reading the article if you want to better understand why the US will not be able to 'win over' the EU. It's a good read.

                          T This user is from outside of this forum
                          T This user is from outside of this forum
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                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          US products don't dominate the information technology sector because they are inherently better than alternatives. They dominate because the US is the 800 pound gorilla and it's just easier to use the defaults the US churns out. Every time a government uses proprietary technology, especially for anything that citizens/residents have to interact with, they give up a bit of their sovereignty. People and businesses that interact with the government shouldn't be compelled to buy particular products from a foreign company just to interact with their government. I think Europe would be wise to move to open standards as much as possible, and start rolling a lot of their own technology. No, it's not the easiest choice for the next quarter, or next year, but it will serve them well in the long term. The US is just too volatile.

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                          • S [email protected]

                            Exclusive: EU explores tweaking methane rules for US gas to help trade talks, sources say https://lemm.ee/post/61953004

                            Exactly this, Europe will ditch China soon.

                            H This user is from outside of this forum
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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            The European Union will not decouple from the Chinese economy as a condition for reaching a trade deal with Donald Trump's administration, the European Commission said on Tuesday amid reports that the White House has asked countries to do exactly that.
                            https://lemm.ee/post/62079326

                            Exactly this, they won't.

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                              The European Union will not decouple from the Chinese economy as a condition for reaching a trade deal with Donald Trump's administration, the European Commission said on Tuesday amid reports that the White House has asked countries to do exactly that.
                              https://lemm.ee/post/62079326

                              Exactly this, they won't.

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                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              Ukrain also objected to the mineral deal.

                              The US wants to contain China. They currently don't look like it but they are the country of the playbook. They haven't started the tariff madness without a plan to decouple Europe from China. Otherwise the tariffs would be suicide.

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                                Ukrain also objected to the mineral deal.

                                The US wants to contain China. They currently don't look like it but they are the country of the playbook. They haven't started the tariff madness without a plan to decouple Europe from China. Otherwise the tariffs would be suicide.

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                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                Well if there is a plan I'm still waiting to see it. It's good they're subtle about it though, because playing mind games with your allies isn't a good way of getting them to like you again.

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                                  Well if there is a plan I'm still waiting to see it. It's good they're subtle about it though, because playing mind games with your allies isn't a good way of getting them to like you again.

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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  This is the show for the people. The tariffs were discussed in Davos in January and were mentioned in the Washington Post in 2023. Project 2025 exists for some years. The leaders know, the journalists know, and yet, everybody was surprised when it happened.

                                  They pretend to be surprised and likewise, they would have objected much much stronger before, if the allies wouldn't accept what is happening.

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                                    This is the show for the people. The tariffs were discussed in Davos in January and were mentioned in the Washington Post in 2023. Project 2025 exists for some years. The leaders know, the journalists know, and yet, everybody was surprised when it happened.

                                    They pretend to be surprised and likewise, they would have objected much much stronger before, if the allies wouldn't accept what is happening.

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                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    Maybe go outside, see some sunlight or something.

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                                    • H [email protected]

                                      Maybe go outside, see some sunlight or something.

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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      You mean this is too much conspiracy?

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                                        You mean this is too much conspiracy?

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                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        Yes, the world isn't that controllable. If it were a bunch of dictators meeting up in secret, maybe, but a group of democratic elected individuals, socialites and business people (all with their own agenda!) could never get something that elaborate done without some journalist somewhere picking up on it. There are many big media corpos, but there is also enough smaller ones who haven't said anything like 'european governments knew about the plan with the 25% tariffs that later were lowered to the planned 10%, because they secretly agreed to decouple from china without the public finding out'.

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                                          Yes, the world isn't that controllable. If it were a bunch of dictators meeting up in secret, maybe, but a group of democratic elected individuals, socialites and business people (all with their own agenda!) could never get something that elaborate done without some journalist somewhere picking up on it. There are many big media corpos, but there is also enough smaller ones who haven't said anything like 'european governments knew about the plan with the 25% tariffs that later were lowered to the planned 10%, because they secretly agreed to decouple from china without the public finding out'.

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                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          I also don't believe that the specific ups and downs were planned, especially not the exact timing.

                                          But the introduction of the tariffs was known.

                                          https://edition.cnn.com/2025/01/22/economy/jamie-dimon-tariffs-get-over-it/index.html

                                          How do you interpret it? Did the European governments know but they just expected some trade negotiations?

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