No nukes - no guarantees.
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You don't think we are capable of building nuclear weapons. If not, the French can deploy there nukes on our soil. The Green's will be pissed.
Operation Paperclip
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Unreliable and stupid. They probably left the gate unlocked and the keys in it.
Doubt it, but even if, those aren't the big nukes you need for nuclear deterrence. These you need to strap to a Tornado or F35 and fly it all the way to Moscow or Washington and hope you don't get shot down en route.
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It works as long as its plauble to think that someone will press the red button. I have no doubt that Macron would follow a treaty that would demand that, but he wouldn't be the president of France forever. Baradella (Front national) has good chances to get the next president and I wouldn't trust him risking a nuclear over anything but France itself.
Your pretty generous assuming that he would defend France since all those fuckers are Putin puppets
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So France, and only France has a believable deterrence. Or do you really think a front national President would risk Paris for a small tactical nuke on Nato troupes in Poland? France doesn't have tactical nukes, only the city destroying strategic ones, they can't answer without escalating.
In Europe? Also the UK.