What if Ukraine falls? This is no longer a hypothetical question – and it must be answered urgently | Simon Tisdall [**Opinion**]
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Russia might be advancing, but it is doing so incredibly slowly. Over the last year Russia took 0.75% of Ukraine. None of which being a major city. Saying Ukraine will fall due to that is pretty naive. This is clearly a war of attrition.
When you look at that Russia is in much worse shape. Its massive Soviet era weapons stockpiles are shrinking. The economy seems to be in trouble and they have to pay a lot of money to attract new soldiers. This is not to say the war will end soon. I can not predict that, but that there are other metrics involved in a war, which matter a lot. Keep in mind that WW1 ended with not a single enemy soldier on German core soil(besides colonies).
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All the countries neighboring Russia would turn to NATO.
putin's regime is the best marketing to join NATO.
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Russia might be advancing, but it is doing so incredibly slowly. Over the last year Russia took 0.75% of Ukraine. None of which being a major city. Saying Ukraine will fall due to that is pretty naive. This is clearly a war of attrition.
When you look at that Russia is in much worse shape. Its massive Soviet era weapons stockpiles are shrinking. The economy seems to be in trouble and they have to pay a lot of money to attract new soldiers. This is not to say the war will end soon. I can not predict that, but that there are other metrics involved in a war, which matter a lot. Keep in mind that WW1 ended with not a single enemy soldier on German core soil(besides colonies).
Russia is even paying mercenaries and leaning on allies to send troops from China and North Korea - that sounds pretty desperate to be honest.
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Maybe we should send more tanks and bombs there. That would piss off the tankies
