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  3. The specter of a GTA 6 delay haunts the games industry: 'Some companies are going to tank' if they guess wrong, says analyst

The specter of a GTA 6 delay haunts the games industry: 'Some companies are going to tank' if they guess wrong, says analyst

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  • andyburke@fedia.ioA [email protected]

    Are you asking me if I can predict the future?

    B This user is from outside of this forum
    B This user is from outside of this forum
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    wrote on last edited by
    #11

    Well since you're posting "they want $100 for this" so matter-of-factly, you seem to believe that you can predict the future, Andy.

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    • tonytins@pawb.socialT [email protected]
      This post did not contain any content.
      B This user is from outside of this forum
      B This user is from outside of this forum
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      wrote on last edited by
      #12

      Weird vibes in this comment section.

      ? 1 Reply Last reply
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      • B [email protected]

        I just don't have the patience to wait even more. I have a PS5, so why wouldn't I play it on release??

        L This user is from outside of this forum
        L This user is from outside of this forum
        [email protected]
        wrote on last edited by
        #13

        Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

        ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA B altima_neo@lemmy.zipA 3 Replies Last reply
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        • mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM [email protected]

          Wait, do people still get excited for GTA? I thought GTA V online killed a lot of goodwill for the series.

          L This user is from outside of this forum
          L This user is from outside of this forum
          [email protected]
          wrote on last edited by
          #14

          It did. I've been a GTA player since the first one kn PS1.

          I've bought every GTA game.

          I have zero interest in GTA6.

          S pika@sh.itjust.worksP 2 Replies Last reply
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          • B [email protected]

            Weird vibes in this comment section.

            ? Offline
            ? Offline
            Guest
            wrote on last edited by
            #15

            They are all from players who are against things Rockstar did with GTA and what it represents for the industry. But they are not representative of the whole market.

            The article is right about the impact for small studios. On the timeline for the game I'm working on, we have a prediction for GTA VI release with a big question mark and we hope to avoid it.

            The problem is not that all players will spend $100 on the game. The problem is that the majority of the press coverage, Steam traffic, streamer time, etc. will focus on the topic. Even if there is bad press around GTA, that's still attention that is not on other games.

            N tonytins@pawb.socialT 2 Replies Last reply
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            • L [email protected]

              Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

              ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
              ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
              [email protected]
              wrote on last edited by
              #16

              There's a single player game people are pretty jazzed about, too.

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              • L [email protected]

                Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

                B This user is from outside of this forum
                B This user is from outside of this forum
                [email protected]
                wrote on last edited by
                #17

                Huh? For £70 I'm getting -

                • Huge open world
                • Very fun and emergent gameplay
                • Likely a world with multiple competing systems and subsystems to play with
                • Incredibly detailed world to get lost and immersed in
                • Given the RDR2 writing, likely a really well written story

                But you've decided to latch onto one aspect of the previous game (the Online mode) to try to be as contrarian as possible?

                I sure as heck will pay £70 for the above. And so will many millions of others. Sorry if that does a poo on your hate-train.

                _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ p03locke@lemmy.dbzer0.comP E S 4 Replies Last reply
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                • B [email protected]

                  Are you seriously questioning whether there is any hype for GTA?

                  GTAV Online may have hindered Rockstar's goodwill for fans of the single player mode, but the Online mode rakes in cash.

                  RDR2 released in 2018 and is widely considered one of the best single player games with one of the best open worlds.

                  GTA VI is, unquestionably, the most anticipated game of the year. To suggest otherwise is to be insanely disingenuous on your part.

                  mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                  [email protected]
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #18

                  No, I'm honestly surprised. I've barely heard anything about GTA VI. Seriously. I don't care about it, none of my friends have talked about it despite being the kinda game that they'd be into, and I've only seen one or two articles on it.

                  You sure it's that highly anticipated? My observation is that people have gotten really sick and tired of AAA games, and this is a shift that's occurred since RDR2 came out. Very few of the people I know still regularly play AAA games, and those who do almost never buy them on launch. I haven't seen anywhere near the same amount of hype for GTA VI as I saw for GTA IV or GTA V.

                  You're accusing me of being disingenuous? Maybe you're the one who's buying into the hype and overestimating public interest. Or perhaps the true answer is somewhere in the middle. Who knows. I was not intentionally downplaying your favorite series though.

                  B T 2 Replies Last reply
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                  • ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                    ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                    [email protected]
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #19

                    They'd ask $1000 for it if they thought people will pay it. No one at Take Two or Rockstar has said this. Most likely is they'll do that $100 "advance access" thing that a lot of AAA games like to do, where you get the game a few days early. The business hasn't gotten in the way of the fun or fairness of the campaign mode for Rockstar's previous efforts, and if it did this time, we'll certainly hear about it immediately.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • B [email protected]

                      Are you seriously questioning whether there is any hype for GTA?

                      GTAV Online may have hindered Rockstar's goodwill for fans of the single player mode, but the Online mode rakes in cash.

                      RDR2 released in 2018 and is widely considered one of the best single player games with one of the best open worlds.

                      GTA VI is, unquestionably, the most anticipated game of the year. To suggest otherwise is to be insanely disingenuous on your part.

                      W This user is from outside of this forum
                      W This user is from outside of this forum
                      [email protected]
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #20

                      The main writers have since left Rockstar. Dan Houser left in 2020. I feel GTA will lose it's charm with this next entry, I hope I am wrong, but something just feels off. Either way, won't be buying it until it's on a good sale, reviews dependent too.

                      B 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • D [email protected]

                        Take your console exclusive bullshit and shove it up your ass. I'll play it when it's on PC. And only on PC.

                        ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                        ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                        [email protected]
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #21

                        This will probably be the last time it ever happens. They're trying to get people to double dip, and plenty will, but the console install base isn't what it was when GTA V came out at the end of a generation. Plus we all know full well that the PC version will happen, whereas in yesteryear, we weren't sure.

                        K 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM [email protected]

                          No, I'm honestly surprised. I've barely heard anything about GTA VI. Seriously. I don't care about it, none of my friends have talked about it despite being the kinda game that they'd be into, and I've only seen one or two articles on it.

                          You sure it's that highly anticipated? My observation is that people have gotten really sick and tired of AAA games, and this is a shift that's occurred since RDR2 came out. Very few of the people I know still regularly play AAA games, and those who do almost never buy them on launch. I haven't seen anywhere near the same amount of hype for GTA VI as I saw for GTA IV or GTA V.

                          You're accusing me of being disingenuous? Maybe you're the one who's buying into the hype and overestimating public interest. Or perhaps the true answer is somewhere in the middle. Who knows. I was not intentionally downplaying your favorite series though.

                          B This user is from outside of this forum
                          B This user is from outside of this forum
                          [email protected]
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #22

                          The article you're commenting on is literally about the game's unsustainable hype and its impact on the industry.

                          It won Most Anticipated at TGA.

                          This is far from my favourite series, just enjoy shining a light on insane takes on Lemmy!

                          mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • B [email protected]

                            I just don't have the patience to wait even more. I have a PS5, so why wouldn't I play it on release??

                            Z This user is from outside of this forum
                            Z This user is from outside of this forum
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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #23

                            Because of backlogs and eventual price drops /sales

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • W [email protected]

                              The main writers have since left Rockstar. Dan Houser left in 2020. I feel GTA will lose it's charm with this next entry, I hope I am wrong, but something just feels off. Either way, won't be buying it until it's on a good sale, reviews dependent too.

                              B This user is from outside of this forum
                              B This user is from outside of this forum
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                              wrote on last edited by
                              #24

                              It's certainly going to be interesting how this game is received. Rockstar is one of those studios that burns all its goodwill with things like Online, the "Definitive" editions, RDR2 Online closing early, yet despite that it's the largest studio with one of the largest, most successful franchises.

                              With the industry being so dire right now, where only huge behemoths like rockstar, or tiny efficient indie studios, can really compete, the outcome of GTA 6 might be quite consequential for the industry.

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                              • B [email protected]

                                I just don't have the patience to wait even more. I have a PS5, so why wouldn't I play it on release??

                                D This user is from outside of this forum
                                D This user is from outside of this forum
                                [email protected]
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #25

                                Because I don't want console level performance when I play it for the first time

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • ? Guest

                                  They are all from players who are against things Rockstar did with GTA and what it represents for the industry. But they are not representative of the whole market.

                                  The article is right about the impact for small studios. On the timeline for the game I'm working on, we have a prediction for GTA VI release with a big question mark and we hope to avoid it.

                                  The problem is not that all players will spend $100 on the game. The problem is that the majority of the press coverage, Steam traffic, streamer time, etc. will focus on the topic. Even if there is bad press around GTA, that's still attention that is not on other games.

                                  N This user is from outside of this forum
                                  N This user is from outside of this forum
                                  [email protected]
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #26

                                  Exactly this. I work in the games industry as well and even big studios are falling over themselves NOT to release anywhere near GTA6.

                                  Nobody believes there won't be people playing other games at that time. But it's going to dominate the media cycle for a month, especially if it is either better or worse than fans hope. And the reality is that many, many people have limited gaming budgets. If you've only got $100 to spend, GTA6 is very likely to be the default pick at that time.

                                  It's a behemoth in terms of grabbing attention from both the media and players. All the best laid plans for a successful release can be completely derailed by a game like GTA6.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • B [email protected]

                                    The article you're commenting on is literally about the game's unsustainable hype and its impact on the industry.

                                    It won Most Anticipated at TGA.

                                    This is far from my favourite series, just enjoy shining a light on insane takes on Lemmy!

                                    mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    [email protected]
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #27

                                    shrug Idk if it's really that insane. Tbh I'm not convinced the hype isn't being manufactured. I have a cousin who's a pretty bog standard, flavor-of-the-month gamer, and he's said nothing about GTA VI.

                                    Not saying you're necessarily wrong, I guess, just that something seems off.

                                    ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM [email protected]

                                      shrug Idk if it's really that insane. Tbh I'm not convinced the hype isn't being manufactured. I have a cousin who's a pretty bog standard, flavor-of-the-month gamer, and he's said nothing about GTA VI.

                                      Not saying you're necessarily wrong, I guess, just that something seems off.

                                      ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                                      ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                                      [email protected]
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #28

                                      Grand Theft Auto V came out 12 years ago and has been in the top ten best sellers almost every single month since then. It's not manufactured; you're just very out of the loop. It's one of the biggest money makers in all of video games. They spent an estimated $2B on GTA6 and will almost certainly make it back within days, not years.

                                      finishingdutch@lemmy.worldF 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • tonytins@pawb.socialT [email protected]
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                                        _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
                                        _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
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                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #29

                                        big games get delayed, a lot

                                        And yet so many of them still suck at launch.

                                        W 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • N This user is from outside of this forum
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                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #30

                                          Fun facts incoming!

                                          Cost of "Mario 64" on release = $59.99
                                          Development budget for Mario 64 = ~$1.56mil

                                          Inflation adjusted Mario 64 cost in 2022 = $111.91
                                          Inflation adjusted Mario 64 budget in 2022 = ~$2.91mil

                                          Cost of "Elden Ring" on release = $59.99
                                          Estimated dev. budget for Elder Ring = $100mil-200mil

                                          Mario 64 units sold = ~12mil
                                          Elder Ring units sold = ~28mil

                                          These details are provided without comment. You do the math and decide whether the fact that prices haven't changed since 1996 might be the reason for some of the enshitification we continue to see.

                                          And now for the comment:

                                          Consumers are horrifyingly resistant to price increases for games. It is directly responsible for many of the shitty monetization models we've seen. Development budget continue to rise, even on indie games, while consumers pay less and less in "real money value" over time.

                                          It's completely unsustainable and the very reason the "business types" get involved, forcing unpopular monetization schemes

                                          massive_bereavement@fedia.ioM kolanaki@pawb.socialK Z T M 5 Replies Last reply
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