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  3. The specter of a GTA 6 delay haunts the games industry: 'Some companies are going to tank' if they guess wrong, says analyst

The specter of a GTA 6 delay haunts the games industry: 'Some companies are going to tank' if they guess wrong, says analyst

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  • L [email protected]

    Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

    ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
    ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    There's a single player game people are pretty jazzed about, too.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • L [email protected]

      Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

      B This user is from outside of this forum
      B This user is from outside of this forum
      [email protected]
      wrote on last edited by
      #17

      Huh? For £70 I'm getting -

      • Huge open world
      • Very fun and emergent gameplay
      • Likely a world with multiple competing systems and subsystems to play with
      • Incredibly detailed world to get lost and immersed in
      • Given the RDR2 writing, likely a really well written story

      But you've decided to latch onto one aspect of the previous game (the Online mode) to try to be as contrarian as possible?

      I sure as heck will pay £70 for the above. And so will many millions of others. Sorry if that does a poo on your hate-train.

      _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ p03locke@lemmy.dbzer0.comP E S 4 Replies Last reply
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      • B [email protected]

        Are you seriously questioning whether there is any hype for GTA?

        GTAV Online may have hindered Rockstar's goodwill for fans of the single player mode, but the Online mode rakes in cash.

        RDR2 released in 2018 and is widely considered one of the best single player games with one of the best open worlds.

        GTA VI is, unquestionably, the most anticipated game of the year. To suggest otherwise is to be insanely disingenuous on your part.

        mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
        mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
        [email protected]
        wrote on last edited by
        #18

        No, I'm honestly surprised. I've barely heard anything about GTA VI. Seriously. I don't care about it, none of my friends have talked about it despite being the kinda game that they'd be into, and I've only seen one or two articles on it.

        You sure it's that highly anticipated? My observation is that people have gotten really sick and tired of AAA games, and this is a shift that's occurred since RDR2 came out. Very few of the people I know still regularly play AAA games, and those who do almost never buy them on launch. I haven't seen anywhere near the same amount of hype for GTA VI as I saw for GTA IV or GTA V.

        You're accusing me of being disingenuous? Maybe you're the one who's buying into the hype and overestimating public interest. Or perhaps the true answer is somewhere in the middle. Who knows. I was not intentionally downplaying your favorite series though.

        B T 2 Replies Last reply
        0
        • ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
          ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
          [email protected]
          wrote on last edited by
          #19

          They'd ask $1000 for it if they thought people will pay it. No one at Take Two or Rockstar has said this. Most likely is they'll do that $100 "advance access" thing that a lot of AAA games like to do, where you get the game a few days early. The business hasn't gotten in the way of the fun or fairness of the campaign mode for Rockstar's previous efforts, and if it did this time, we'll certainly hear about it immediately.

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          • B [email protected]

            Are you seriously questioning whether there is any hype for GTA?

            GTAV Online may have hindered Rockstar's goodwill for fans of the single player mode, but the Online mode rakes in cash.

            RDR2 released in 2018 and is widely considered one of the best single player games with one of the best open worlds.

            GTA VI is, unquestionably, the most anticipated game of the year. To suggest otherwise is to be insanely disingenuous on your part.

            W This user is from outside of this forum
            W This user is from outside of this forum
            [email protected]
            wrote on last edited by
            #20

            The main writers have since left Rockstar. Dan Houser left in 2020. I feel GTA will lose it's charm with this next entry, I hope I am wrong, but something just feels off. Either way, won't be buying it until it's on a good sale, reviews dependent too.

            B 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • D [email protected]

              Take your console exclusive bullshit and shove it up your ass. I'll play it when it's on PC. And only on PC.

              ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
              ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
              [email protected]
              wrote on last edited by
              #21

              This will probably be the last time it ever happens. They're trying to get people to double dip, and plenty will, but the console install base isn't what it was when GTA V came out at the end of a generation. Plus we all know full well that the PC version will happen, whereas in yesteryear, we weren't sure.

              K 1 Reply Last reply
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              • mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM [email protected]

                No, I'm honestly surprised. I've barely heard anything about GTA VI. Seriously. I don't care about it, none of my friends have talked about it despite being the kinda game that they'd be into, and I've only seen one or two articles on it.

                You sure it's that highly anticipated? My observation is that people have gotten really sick and tired of AAA games, and this is a shift that's occurred since RDR2 came out. Very few of the people I know still regularly play AAA games, and those who do almost never buy them on launch. I haven't seen anywhere near the same amount of hype for GTA VI as I saw for GTA IV or GTA V.

                You're accusing me of being disingenuous? Maybe you're the one who's buying into the hype and overestimating public interest. Or perhaps the true answer is somewhere in the middle. Who knows. I was not intentionally downplaying your favorite series though.

                B This user is from outside of this forum
                B This user is from outside of this forum
                [email protected]
                wrote on last edited by
                #22

                The article you're commenting on is literally about the game's unsustainable hype and its impact on the industry.

                It won Most Anticipated at TGA.

                This is far from my favourite series, just enjoy shining a light on insane takes on Lemmy!

                mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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                • B [email protected]

                  I just don't have the patience to wait even more. I have a PS5, so why wouldn't I play it on release??

                  Z This user is from outside of this forum
                  Z This user is from outside of this forum
                  [email protected]
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #23

                  Because of backlogs and eventual price drops /sales

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • W [email protected]

                    The main writers have since left Rockstar. Dan Houser left in 2020. I feel GTA will lose it's charm with this next entry, I hope I am wrong, but something just feels off. Either way, won't be buying it until it's on a good sale, reviews dependent too.

                    B This user is from outside of this forum
                    B This user is from outside of this forum
                    [email protected]
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #24

                    It's certainly going to be interesting how this game is received. Rockstar is one of those studios that burns all its goodwill with things like Online, the "Definitive" editions, RDR2 Online closing early, yet despite that it's the largest studio with one of the largest, most successful franchises.

                    With the industry being so dire right now, where only huge behemoths like rockstar, or tiny efficient indie studios, can really compete, the outcome of GTA 6 might be quite consequential for the industry.

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                    • B [email protected]

                      I just don't have the patience to wait even more. I have a PS5, so why wouldn't I play it on release??

                      D This user is from outside of this forum
                      D This user is from outside of this forum
                      [email protected]
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #25

                      Because I don't want console level performance when I play it for the first time

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                      0
                      • ? Guest

                        They are all from players who are against things Rockstar did with GTA and what it represents for the industry. But they are not representative of the whole market.

                        The article is right about the impact for small studios. On the timeline for the game I'm working on, we have a prediction for GTA VI release with a big question mark and we hope to avoid it.

                        The problem is not that all players will spend $100 on the game. The problem is that the majority of the press coverage, Steam traffic, streamer time, etc. will focus on the topic. Even if there is bad press around GTA, that's still attention that is not on other games.

                        N This user is from outside of this forum
                        N This user is from outside of this forum
                        [email protected]
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #26

                        Exactly this. I work in the games industry as well and even big studios are falling over themselves NOT to release anywhere near GTA6.

                        Nobody believes there won't be people playing other games at that time. But it's going to dominate the media cycle for a month, especially if it is either better or worse than fans hope. And the reality is that many, many people have limited gaming budgets. If you've only got $100 to spend, GTA6 is very likely to be the default pick at that time.

                        It's a behemoth in terms of grabbing attention from both the media and players. All the best laid plans for a successful release can be completely derailed by a game like GTA6.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • B [email protected]

                          The article you're commenting on is literally about the game's unsustainable hype and its impact on the industry.

                          It won Most Anticipated at TGA.

                          This is far from my favourite series, just enjoy shining a light on insane takes on Lemmy!

                          mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                          mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                          [email protected]
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #27

                          shrug Idk if it's really that insane. Tbh I'm not convinced the hype isn't being manufactured. I have a cousin who's a pretty bog standard, flavor-of-the-month gamer, and he's said nothing about GTA VI.

                          Not saying you're necessarily wrong, I guess, just that something seems off.

                          ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • mossyfeathers@pawb.socialM [email protected]

                            shrug Idk if it's really that insane. Tbh I'm not convinced the hype isn't being manufactured. I have a cousin who's a pretty bog standard, flavor-of-the-month gamer, and he's said nothing about GTA VI.

                            Not saying you're necessarily wrong, I guess, just that something seems off.

                            ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                            ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA This user is from outside of this forum
                            [email protected]
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #28

                            Grand Theft Auto V came out 12 years ago and has been in the top ten best sellers almost every single month since then. It's not manufactured; you're just very out of the loop. It's one of the biggest money makers in all of video games. They spent an estimated $2B on GTA6 and will almost certainly make it back within days, not years.

                            finishingdutch@lemmy.worldF 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • tonytins@pawb.socialT [email protected]
                              This post did not contain any content.
                              _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
                              _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
                              [email protected]
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #29

                              big games get delayed, a lot

                              And yet so many of them still suck at launch.

                              W 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • N This user is from outside of this forum
                                N This user is from outside of this forum
                                [email protected]
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #30

                                Fun facts incoming!

                                Cost of "Mario 64" on release = $59.99
                                Development budget for Mario 64 = ~$1.56mil

                                Inflation adjusted Mario 64 cost in 2022 = $111.91
                                Inflation adjusted Mario 64 budget in 2022 = ~$2.91mil

                                Cost of "Elden Ring" on release = $59.99
                                Estimated dev. budget for Elder Ring = $100mil-200mil

                                Mario 64 units sold = ~12mil
                                Elder Ring units sold = ~28mil

                                These details are provided without comment. You do the math and decide whether the fact that prices haven't changed since 1996 might be the reason for some of the enshitification we continue to see.

                                And now for the comment:

                                Consumers are horrifyingly resistant to price increases for games. It is directly responsible for many of the shitty monetization models we've seen. Development budget continue to rise, even on indie games, while consumers pay less and less in "real money value" over time.

                                It's completely unsustainable and the very reason the "business types" get involved, forcing unpopular monetization schemes

                                massive_bereavement@fedia.ioM kolanaki@pawb.socialK Z T M 5 Replies Last reply
                                0
                                • L [email protected]

                                  Why would you want to pay $70 for a pay to win game at all?

                                  altima_neo@lemmy.zipA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  altima_neo@lemmy.zipA This user is from outside of this forum
                                  [email protected]
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #31

                                  Or $100 , s some people are predicting

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • B [email protected]

                                    Huh? For £70 I'm getting -

                                    • Huge open world
                                    • Very fun and emergent gameplay
                                    • Likely a world with multiple competing systems and subsystems to play with
                                    • Incredibly detailed world to get lost and immersed in
                                    • Given the RDR2 writing, likely a really well written story

                                    But you've decided to latch onto one aspect of the previous game (the Online mode) to try to be as contrarian as possible?

                                    I sure as heck will pay £70 for the above. And so will many millions of others. Sorry if that does a poo on your hate-train.

                                    _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
                                    _cryptagion@lemmy.dbzer0.com_ This user is from outside of this forum
                                    [email protected]
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #32

                                    Well, to be fair, you don’t know you’re getting it for that. As far as I’ve seen, they haven’t announced the release price yet. And a lot of studios are hoping that Rockstar will take the fall for being the first $100 game so publishers can start charging used console prices for AAA games from then on.

                                    Either way though, I won’t be paying anything for it.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • ? Guest

                                      They are all from players who are against things Rockstar did with GTA and what it represents for the industry. But they are not representative of the whole market.

                                      The article is right about the impact for small studios. On the timeline for the game I'm working on, we have a prediction for GTA VI release with a big question mark and we hope to avoid it.

                                      The problem is not that all players will spend $100 on the game. The problem is that the majority of the press coverage, Steam traffic, streamer time, etc. will focus on the topic. Even if there is bad press around GTA, that's still attention that is not on other games.

                                      tonytins@pawb.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      tonytins@pawb.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      [email protected]
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #33

                                      I really didn't know what to expect with this article. That being said, the industry holding their breath on GTA 6 is a bit much, to say the least.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • tonytins@pawb.socialT [email protected]
                                        This post did not contain any content.
                                        kolanaki@pawb.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                        kolanaki@pawb.socialK This user is from outside of this forum
                                        [email protected]
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #34

                                        If your game can't even complete with a game nobody knows anything about and doesn't even have a set release date, maybe your game just fucking sucks?

                                        K p03locke@lemmy.dbzer0.comP ampersandrew@lemmy.worldA 3 Replies Last reply
                                        0
                                        • N [email protected]

                                          Fun facts incoming!

                                          Cost of "Mario 64" on release = $59.99
                                          Development budget for Mario 64 = ~$1.56mil

                                          Inflation adjusted Mario 64 cost in 2022 = $111.91
                                          Inflation adjusted Mario 64 budget in 2022 = ~$2.91mil

                                          Cost of "Elden Ring" on release = $59.99
                                          Estimated dev. budget for Elder Ring = $100mil-200mil

                                          Mario 64 units sold = ~12mil
                                          Elder Ring units sold = ~28mil

                                          These details are provided without comment. You do the math and decide whether the fact that prices haven't changed since 1996 might be the reason for some of the enshitification we continue to see.

                                          And now for the comment:

                                          Consumers are horrifyingly resistant to price increases for games. It is directly responsible for many of the shitty monetization models we've seen. Development budget continue to rise, even on indie games, while consumers pay less and less in "real money value" over time.

                                          It's completely unsustainable and the very reason the "business types" get involved, forcing unpopular monetization schemes

                                          massive_bereavement@fedia.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          massive_bereavement@fedia.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          [email protected]
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #35

                                          Cartridge manufacturing and distribution was hella expensive back then and that took a big bite on any sales.

                                          Digital storefronts do take as well their lion share though, but that's on sales.

                                          N 1 Reply Last reply
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