Frontline report: 50% of Moscow’s fuel supply at risk after Ukrainian drone strike on its largest oil refinery
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American support and intelligence has only been paused for one week and has resumed since.
Same question back to you, comrade.
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American support and intelligence has only been paused for one week and has resumed since.
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And the Russia will remain gaining ground at the same steady speed of 0.7 percent per year. In just 7 years, by 2032, they will already have conquered another one twentieth of Ukraine! Ura!
If the Russia keeps its ground gaining steady and does not increase its speed tenfold, then that means the Russia is doing seriously badly. Losing 400 000 soldiers in a year (as dead and wounded, not only dead!) and not managing to unsteady that rate of advance means things are seriously going badly!
Ruzzian wounded may as well be dead. Ruzzia is now fielding battalions of wounded soldiers, going back into battle on crutches, no less. Ruzzians have been told to execute their wounded. Their economy can't support so many wounded, they need the money to refurbish more old tanks.
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Or just people who have been living there.
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Summary
A massive Ukrainian drone strike targeted Russian oil refineries and infrastructure, including Moscow’s largest refinery, which supplies 50% of the city’s fuel.
The attack also hit the Druzhba pipeline control station, halting Russian oil exports to Hungary. With over 337 drones striking multiple regions, the operation exploited gaps in Russia’s air defenses.
Hungary, heavily reliant on Russian energy, called the pipeline attack a threat to its sovereignty.
Analysts suggest continued strikes could pressure Russia’s economy and energy dominance, potentially influencing ceasefire negotiations.
Sounds great; anything that hinders Russia is cause for celebration.
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The opposite is happening, people who want to remain under Ukrainian influence are moving to the regions still under Ukrainian control.
Is that because of the ruzzians so kindly setting up a removalist service, with all the trimmings, Yuri? That's a /s by the way.
The fact is ruzzians are stealing any children they can get their foul grubby paws on. Any males are being forcibly conscripted to fight against their own people. Lord knows what those vile animals do with the women....
Ruzzians are orcs in vaguely human shape. Their supporters are even worse. -
In that statement "Your" can refer to either or both.
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Why do you believe it's happening? Are you willing to bet the revolution will happen before the end of the year?
I don't think I stated an opinion. You did. Do you actually have a reason for what you said?
For future reference, I think it's quite possible Russia sees a revolution or regime change. They're losing a large portion of their young male population, their economy is in turmoil, and their oil refineries, which is by far their most important export, are being destroyed. They saved up money for a while before the war to pay families who lose soldiers and temporarily keep their economy afloat and keep people from getting too riled up, but that money is largely gone now. Payments to families are being delayed or not happening at all, and the economy is in a risky position.
Will it happen? I don't think anyone can make this prediction. May it happen? Certainly. I don't think any reasonable person looks at the situation and thinks it's on stable ground. Only the people with their heads in the sand can sit back and say Russia is in a great position internally or externally right now. Sure, Russian media says it's great, but they benefit from selling that image to the people. Don't wholy trust anyone who benefits from you believing what they're saying.
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I don't believe that withdrawing from Kursk because the Russians are gaining ground day after day is part of some sort of grand plan.
I don't exactly either. You ignored half my comment. Do you believe it when Russia says similar things? If so, why? Ukraine has an image they need to sell, but it's even more important for Russia, so don't believe them either.
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A lot of Crimeans DID do the same. Why do you assume they didn't?
I don't, but it does seem a better option than war.
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Summary
A massive Ukrainian drone strike targeted Russian oil refineries and infrastructure, including Moscow’s largest refinery, which supplies 50% of the city’s fuel.
The attack also hit the Druzhba pipeline control station, halting Russian oil exports to Hungary. With over 337 drones striking multiple regions, the operation exploited gaps in Russia’s air defenses.
Hungary, heavily reliant on Russian energy, called the pipeline attack a threat to its sovereignty.
Analysts suggest continued strikes could pressure Russia’s economy and energy dominance, potentially influencing ceasefire negotiations.
Russia gonna spec into tesla tanks now?
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Schrödingers Russia is on the verge of collaps and about to conquer Europe for three years now
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They got tired of killing koreans probably
Sadly, the situation was considerably more dire.
In Kursk, at the end, Ukrainian troops (about 12 000 men) were supplied using a single good road. Russia brought in enough offensive power (about 70 000 men) to push on that road, and despite heavy losses, reached artillery and drone range. Russia then relocated some of their best droners to the area (both countries have elite drone units with better equipment and experience) and started attacking nearly every supply vehicle that they could. Logistics broke down.
Then Trump pulled the intel and HIMARS strikes ceased for a while.
As a result, the Ukrainian contingent in Kursk received orders to do an orderly retreat. But they received them late. In reality, they had to save themselves using rather ungraceful methods, often abandoning vehicles (bridge was blown up) and moving on foot.
The Kursk offensive helped distract Russia more than a little, but shouldn't have ended that way. I'm fairly certain ISW will write in detail about the Kursk events in their next review of developments, but the lesson as it appears to me: "retreat before your movement routes come under fire".
As for long range strike drones, Ukrainians have some of the best in the world, and they're working hard with them. Also, recently, what appeared to be an Ukrainian cruise missile circumnavigated Crimea and hit an oil depot south of the peninsula. Which means 1000+ km of cruise missile range. Moscow needs only around 700 km.
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It was supposed to be Russian dominance "from Vladivostok to Lisbon" as Putin's grand political philosopher put it and various Russian Politicians very publicly stated, and here we are 2 years after the "3 day Special Military Operation started" and Russia is still stuck in Donbas with almost 1 million casualties, their massive stocks of Soviet Unions weapons severely depleted and their enemy has developed their own advanced weapons and is increasingly destroying the Oil and Gas infrastructure they rely on to pay for the War and dominating the airspace near the front lines using drones.
Putin's Russia is like the obese guy who loudly claims "I'm in perfect shape", goes out "to run a marathon" and after about about 500m is already totally out of breath and barely moving.
And then buys one of those marathon bumper stickers and tells everybody he won.
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No, they don’t. Ukraine is about to get kicked out from Kursk and lose the little leverage they had in the negotiations.
Cards are ever-changing, but the main card of both sides is possibly agreeing to stop, if certain conditions are satisfied.
If Ukrainians could have stayed in Kursk, it would have been something to trade back during negotiations. But apparently, Putin didn't like that prospect and made Russian troops concentrate a lot of force in Kursk. This force came at the expense of other fronts. During the time Russia was bombing Russian territory, it spent less energy bombing Ukraine.
I don't think Ukrainians are very cheerful about losing Kursk, but it was meant as a distraction - this direction was weakly defended, they got in easily, stayed for six months, just the coming back out turned ugly.
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I don't, but it does seem a better option than war.
That's obvious, but there's not much the Crimeans could do to influence Putin. How would they have done that?
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And the Russia will remain gaining ground at the same steady speed of 0.7 percent per year. In just 7 years, by 2032, they will already have conquered another one twentieth of Ukraine! Ura!
If the Russia keeps its ground gaining steady and does not increase its speed tenfold, then that means the Russia is doing seriously badly. Losing 400 000 soldiers in a year (as dead and wounded, not only dead!) and not managing to unsteady that rate of advance means things are seriously going badly!
You’re assuming Ukraine will continue receiving the same level of support it has been receiving so far.
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Ruzzia will be a third world shithole country forever. Everyone outside of Moscow and St Petersburg squats over latrine pits, your food is the worst in the world, your men are all addicted to anti-freeze vodka and smoking, which explains why the greatest cause of death in ruzzia is self immolation. Even your women hate you because they are all trying to marry westerners. When you finish losing this war, you will never get your overseas assets back, or your petroleum customers, and you will be paying reparations forever. Pootangs legacy is that you will remain peasants forever. Well deserved, I say
You can stop using “your”, I’m not Russian lol.
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Why would it? Finland has a total army strength of quite precisely one million if you count in the reserve.
Ukraine has fielded about that many soldiers altogether, perhaps a little less.
Finland has a population of 5.6 million, Ukraine has a population of 40 million. Per capita they have about one seventh of the amount of soldiers compared to Finland. Meaning, they should be, by all logic, able to find another seven times as many soldiers as they have found now. It's weird that the do not!
While Ukrainians' will to go to front is far greater than that of Germans' or the French, the size of Ukraine's army tells of a big problem with motivation. It is super weird, but even under the current circumstances, most Ukrainians don't bother joining to help protect their country. (And because they don't, the current soldiers almost never get relieved for holidays, and that's a reason why people don't want to join the army...)
That is a self-correcting problem. If it happens that Ukraine runs out of soldiers so badly that the Russia will start advancing at a speed of five percent of Ukraine's total territory per year instead of the current 0.7 %, then Ukrainians will get scared and more people will be motivated to move their butts. And then there are enough soldiers again.
The Russia does not have such a self-correcting mechanism with its army size. Actually the opposite: While Ukraine doing badly will motivate more Ukrainians to come for help, the Russia doing badly means their economy is doing badly, and therefore their ability to pay good salaries for their soldiers will be doing badly. Their soldiers are in it for the money. No money --> extremely difficult to find enough Russian soldiers.
You’re being overly optimistic. Ukrainians are already tired of the war effort and as you said many of them aren’t interested in joining the war in the front lines.
Russia advancing faster will only make more people want to stop the massacre, or more people flee abroad.
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That's obvious, but there's not much the Crimeans could do to influence Putin. How would they have done that?
Is this supposed to be a serious question? If Putin genuinely wanted to help them and not himself, they wouldn't have to offer anything other than their loyalty and he could have given them a place in his vast country. But there is little evidence he cares about the welfare of his subjects and that wouldn't have given him an excuse to attack his neighbor.
