How likely you believe that Fediverse could accomodate EU citizens if US big tech leave the EU?
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"In the long run" does a lot of the heavy lifting there. We've gone from indiscriminately giving our data away 25 years ago, to having a sizable chunk of people like you and me who are aware of the data siphoning and take steps to curb the flow today. In another 25 years, I think users' mindsets will have changed enough for my prediction to have a chance in hell of becoming true. I hope to see the day.
Hey, I think you are replying to me? But Iwas not the one who said, "in the long run," that was the poster above me.
I did not make that claim. But nevertheless, if I may, 25 years from now, is a long time. I agree that many things can change. But right not, when it comes to privacy, the next 5-10 years do not look good.
I use Linux on all my machines due to privacy, and tech background, I like Linux, and because I support FOSS. If you do too, we are less than 5% of all users, likely closer to 4%.
I use Firefox based browsers, and if you do too, we are less than 4% of all internet users. Closer to 3%.
If you use the Fediverse. The entire Fediverse cannot be more than 100 million. I posted elsewhere that all Lemmy users are less than 433,000, total. We are likely under 20 million or maybe a tad more? FB has like 3 billion. Twitter has hundreds of millions, I believe. Even Bluesky is like 32 million. Feel free to fact check me on that, it has been a while since I last checked.
Everything is turning into subscriptions services and at least in my circle of friends, when I mentioned the fact that people have bought corporate microphones that listen to everything that they say, with clips of those going to corporate, they all accept it as fact, but there follows this weird uncomfortable cognitive dissonance where people accept it but do not want to really think about it because they like asking Alexa for weather alerts and to play music, etc. And they are all fine with it. When I deal with normie people, they are 100% on board with giving away all privacy if it saves them a click or two. Maybe in 25 years it may be different, but this is not changing in 5 years. That is for sure. Maybe not even 10 or more. The majority is likely to not really change in that time. Since tech trends are heading into even less privacy, in the aggregate.
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Probably another big tech would fill the gap before. Sad, but that's the most likely outcome.
I would say (and I know that is a controversial opinion this one) that the fediverse itself is a little to blame here. Not because the technical difficulties to join in that are not that bad, but because most people in the fediverse want everyone here to have a very characteristic political ideology and to be very passionate about it. Like 90% (exaggerating here)of what I read here and in mastodon are politics (more so politics from a very specific pov), even after I made a big effort to get away from political communities.
Most people have not that particular ideology or are not that passionate about it, so they take a look of what's going on here and take the sane decision of not joining in.
I actually think that's the bigger impediment for the fediverse to become mainstream.
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Probably another big tech would fill the gap before. Sad, but that's the most likely outcome.
I would say (and I know that is a controversial opinion this one) that the fediverse itself is a little to blame here. Not because the technical difficulties to join in that are not that bad, but because most people in the fediverse want everyone here to have a very characteristic political ideology and to be very passionate about it. Like 90% (exaggerating here)of what I read here and in mastodon are politics (more so politics from a very specific pov), even after I made a big effort to get away from political communities.
Most people have not that particular ideology or are not that passionate about it, so they take a look of what's going on here and take the sane decision of not joining in.
I actually think that's the bigger impediment for the fediverse to become mainstream.
I block all politics.
Lemmy.zip has implemented Default Blocks so that new joiners have politics communities hidden from their All feed: https://lemmy.zip/post/33065677
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The fediverse feels laggy at prime time and we are nowhere near Reddit size. I wonder if it can scale to handle millions of users.
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