Ukraine’s Top Military Leadership: We Are Starting to Win, Russia Is Starting to Lose
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I actually doubt the US state department ever said that, exactly. They're diplomats, are very careful about their wording, and are unlikely to promise something they aren't totally sure about.
I'm going by the >21% interest rate, the fact they're politically covering for massive military spending with massive handouts, the amount of assets still in Russia and the recent reports of a surge in bankruptcies. I don't know if it will be two weeks or a year, but they can't keep this up the same way forever.
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Yeah, that's one of my main sources too.
This is what I mean - they need money to pay for their military industry, ever-scarcer volunteers and a bunch of feel-good handouts like cheap mortgages on top of it. They've basically just been burning the economic furniture to make that happen (including the old Soviet stockpiles), and have an interest rate that just keeps climbing. Eventually, their spending is going to come up against what they actually physically have and lose, and then they'll get hyperinflation.
It's been suggested they could just muscle through that, and I can't rule it out, but Russia is not Nazi Germany or even Venezuela. Putin's regime has pretty much discouraged ideology of any kind, so once all the rubles they have to slosh around are worthless they're kind of in uncharted territory.
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I fully agree, it's just that the operative keyword is eventually, and I don't expect it to mean soon. Of course they can't keep this up forever.
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USA's Mr. 47 will seriously take $5m from Mr. Putin to invite him to live in 'the land of the free'. And spend all of his ruble there.
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Huh, that's interesting. Probably makes sense in a mountainous environment, wouldn't want to drive a jeep there. And from what I know, aren't mules generally pretty good at avoiding dangers? Like if there's a cliff, the mule will just go "nope, I'm not going there".
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Do you even realize that Ukrainian terrorism via the SBU (CIA) happens around once every two weeks?
Elaborate.
The thousands of ethnic Russians killed by banderists?
You're disseminating Russian propaganda. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/apr/20/ukraine-decommunisation-law-soviet
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Ukraine won't collapse.
The Russia will collapse.
How does that mean the Russia has a chance to win?
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i imagine that ban and defederation evasion is also against the rules but that doesnt stop all the lemmygrad cunts using their alts
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How is it a surprise that the Russia has been making gains in the Kursk province? That's been one of the three most important points in making the incursion.
Most importantly, it was needed as an insurance in case that Trump becomes president. It would have been easy for Putin to get Trump into pushing Ukraine into a "ceasefire" where the frontline would turn into a de-facto international border until the Russia is able to restart its invasion. But, if any part of the front runs inside the Russia, it becomes impossible for Putin to accept that. The Kursk incursion turned the very simple and clear-cut deal into one that is difficult to get done. Putin still needs the front to become a border, but he needs to include the exception that Ukraine will hand some of the territory to the Russia, but the Russia won't hand anything to Ukraine. It would have been easy to get Trump to help Putin win if all the front was inside Ukraine. Now it's not.
Then, the second most important reason: even though the Russia is advancing so slowly that the advances have no strategical significance, it is still advancing all the same. And when advancing, the Russia razes all encountered towns to rubble. All the advances the Russia has made in its Kursk province have been away from advancing in Ukraine. It has saved thousands of Ukrainians from suffering that the Russia has been razing its own villages, not Ukraine's villages. And, we've observed that the Russia is much less violent regarding its own villages than with Ukrainian villages. This means, it attacks less with artillery and more with troops. And since Ukraine is primarily not trying to gain/retain land, but destroy as many Russian soldiers and destroy as much of Russia's equipment as possible, this is a wonderful thing. Advancing in Kursk province, the Russia has suffered very much bigger losses than it would have suffered in Ukraine.
And then, the Russia has had to spread its troops more thin. Because the Russia has a bigger problem with availability of troops and equipment than Ukraine does, each extra metre of front causes more difficulty for the Russian armed forces than it causes for those of Ukraine. Even through Ukrainian army has trouble with those as well, the Russia having more problems with the same means that Ukraine gets a relative advantage from making the front longer. The incursion into Russian territory has done that.
As long as Ukraine holds any part of Russian territory anywhere, its campaign for attacking the Russia has been a huge success. Without the Kursk incursion, there would already have been a ceasefire. And that would have meant Ukraine becoming a part of the Russia, sooner or later. Now that won't happen.
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Yup. And that means the Russia will be losing huge amounts of troops and equipment without gaining anything from it. The Ukrainian economy is very small, I think about the size of Slovakia's economy. The EU can hold Ukraine's economy up as long as it wants to. Nobody is doing the same for the Russia.
If the Russia had to switch to defending territory without gaining anything more, how would it push for a victory before its economy collapsing?
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Absolutely!
But of course the US leadership understood that this is a consequence of asking EU to refrain from doing that kind of stuff. Would still have been better for USA if Europe would have done much more, so the demands make sense. And I agree that more should have been done!
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It is an economic transition that is going very nice for the working class
Yeah, must be real nice just lying in a field in ukraine pushing up sunflowers
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Especially without American Support
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Russia has been steadily and slowly gaining territory over the last year.
If the Russia had to switch to defending territory without gaining anything more, how would it push for a victory before its economy collapsing?
The current attempt is Trump. It's doubtful the Russian economy will collapse any time soon. They still have some slack and the Russian population could suffer far more. Their strategy after the first couple of months was to outlast Ukraine and its supporters. The moaning about costs in the countries supporting Ukraine is only growing. Russia has a firm lid on all opposition.
Nobody is doing the same for the Russia
China
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Then go fight there. They're hiring.
I have a friend in Kiev and they're kidnapping people to send them to the frontline. Maybe you can take his place if you like Ukraine that much. It's funny how jingoists who cheers for war are never the ones actually fighting it.
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Russia? From Ukrainians? Is that what you mean?
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You kidding? Last time latinoamericana tried to show support some crazy Ukrainian girls answered with monkey emojis. Bunch of racist neanderthals.
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No, nice diverting to the fact some kids were SAVED from ending up like this:
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/ukrainian-girl-gives-nazi-salute-6328675
Any country will take children from unfit parents.
But you know very well the ones that didn't get brainwashed are now kidnapped by the Banderites, same as the elderly.
This is already from more than a year ago, imagine now.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/15/world/europe/ukraine-military-recruitment.htmlProbably they will find something like this now:
https://www.reddit.com/r/ColorizedHistory/comments/8dox22/this_13_year_old_german_of_the_hitler_youth/ -
the Russia has been steadily and slowly gaining territory over the last year with a speed of 0.7 % of Ukraine's territory per year. Which is not strategically relevant. Strategically seen, the Russia has not advanced.
I don't really see China starting to actively cover the Russian budget. That would jeopardize China's trade with Europe.
The Russia's strategy has been to outlast Ukraine's supporters will to support Ukraine. That will never happen, unless the voices making the fake claims about time being on the Russia's side are given too much space. Helping Ukraine is so much cheaper than the costs that incur if the Russia takes over Ukraine that there is no logical reason for the EU to end Ukraine's support ever. Even if some countries were to withdraw their support, enough will retain it to keep Ukraine's head over water.
The Russian economy will collapse, sooner or later.
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Thing is there is a hand behind the back on both sides. Russia has nukes. So do France and UK, one shouldn't forget... Tho USA dropping support does change the conventional war, the USA dropping support doesn't fundamentally change this hand behind the back part.
