Risk of large asteroid striking Earth falls to 1.5%
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Summary
NASA has lowered the estimated risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in December 2032 to 1.5%, down from 3.1% a day earlier. The European Space Agency's (ESA) estimate stands at 1.38%.
The asteroid, 40-90 meters wide, could cause significant city-level destruction but not a global catastrophe.
The projected impact corridor spans the Pacific, South America, Africa, and South Asia.
NASA also estimates a 0.8% chance of the asteroid hitting the Moon.
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So you're tell me there's a chance?
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Sure hope so!
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Giant Meteor for Earth President 2032!
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Keep looking, there's got to be something out there that can hit us!
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What do we need to get this to %100?
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Damn. The bugs need to up their accuracy
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I feel like hitting the moon could fuck us up even worse long term, with effects on the ocean?
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I'm not sure if you saw the recent news but we have a possible new mummy curse, never give up hope
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I haven't seen that. That's a new one. Lets go!
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Well, that's disappointing..
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Reminder that the asteroid is only large enough to destroy a city and, even given the rare chance of it hitting Earth, in all likelihood would land in the ocean and cause no damage. It's not a doomsday asteroid
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imagine if it falls and perfectly annihilates the trump administration though
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It's probably made up of dense materials like iron. Let's pile all the earth's magnets at the White House!
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Well we'd lose the tides, which would devastate ocean life. We'd lose moonlight, which would devastate nocturnal animals. The axial tilt would change, so seasons would become more even, devastating plants that rely on seasonal cycles, or become more extreme, devastating everything.
The book Seveneves explores this scenario, but is mostly about how humanity moves to space to survive.
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Why wait? The best time would have been the dawn of civilization. The second best time is now.
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Just give us the confidence interval and stop updating. We will know better in January 2029 once it has passed by and been tugged by our gravity and the moons.
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There's always a chance that we can hit by a gamma-ray burst.
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