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  3. How much data do you require before you accept something as "fact"?

How much data do you require before you accept something as "fact"?

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  • U [email protected]

    2+2 is a fact

    In some sense, if every single human thought that 2+2 equaled 5, it would become true

    (I'm not smart enough to come up with this lol, got it from Orwell's 1984)

    halcyoncmdr@lemmy.worldH This user is from outside of this forum
    halcyoncmdr@lemmy.worldH This user is from outside of this forum
    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #41

    It doesn't even require belief.

    2+2=5 for sufficiently large values of 2.

    While a facetious statement in general, it is factual if those values derive from rounding. Significant Digits must be maintained.

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    • theneverfox@pawb.socialT [email protected]

      I have a model of everything. Everything I am, my understanding of the world, it all fits together like a web. New ideas fit by their relationship to what I already know - maybe I'm missing nodes to fit it in and I can't accept it

      If it fits the model well, I'll tentatively accept it without any evidence. If it conflicts with my model, I'll need enough proof to outweigh the parts it conflicts with. It has to be enough to displace the past evidence

      In practice, this usually works pretty well. I handle new concepts well. But if you feed me something that fits... Well, I'll believe it until there's a contradiction

      Like my neighbors (as a teen) told me their kid had a predisposition for autism, and the load on his immune system from too many vaccines as once caused him to be nonverbal. That made sense, that's a coherent interaction of processes I knew a bit about. My parents were there and didn't challenge it at the time

      Then, someone scoffing and walking away at bringing it up made me look it up. It made sense, but the evidence didn't support it at all. So my mind was changed with seconds of research, because a story is less evidence than a study (it wasn't until years later that I learned the full story behind that)

      On the other hand, today someone with decades more experience on a system was adamant I was wrong about an intermittent bug. I'm still convinced I'm right, but I have no evidence... We spent an hour doing experiments, I realized the experiments couldn't prove it one way or the other, I explained that and by the end he was convinced.

      It's not the amount of evidence, it's the quality of it.

      E This user is from outside of this forum
      E This user is from outside of this forum
      [email protected]
      wrote on last edited by
      #42

      I have a model of everything. Everything I am, my understanding of the world, it all fits together like a web. New ideas fit by their relationship to what I already know - maybe I'm missing nodes to fit it in and I can't accept it

      Same, and I would add the clarification that I have a model for when and why people lie, tell the truth, or sincerely make false statements (mistake, having been lied to themselves, changed circumstances, etc.).

      So that information comes in through a filter of both the subject matter, the speaker, and my model of the speaker's own expertise and motivations, and all of those factors mixed together.

      So as an example, let's say my friend tells me that there's a new Chinese restaurant in town that's really good. I have to ask myself whether the friend's taste in Chinese restaurants is reliable (and maybe I build that model based on proxies, like friend's taste in restaurants in general, and how similar those tastes are with my own). But if it turns out that my friend is actually taking money to promote that restaurant, then the credibility of that recommendation plummets.

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      • Q [email protected]

        Only if you completely redefine some aspect of the equation. You'd have to define "5" to actually mean "4" or change the meaning of "+" or "=" in some way that changes the operation. 2+2=4 isn't just an abstract statement, it's based on the way the physical world works. If you have 2 apples, and then I give you 2 more, you don't suddenly have 5 apples because we all decided 2+2=5.

        Orwell's meaning in 1984 wasn't about belief changing the world, it was about the power of brainwashing and how fascism demands obedience.

        E This user is from outside of this forum
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        wrote on last edited by
        #43

        If you have 2 apples, and then I give you 2 more, you don't suddenly have 5 apples because we all decided 2+2=5.

        No, but some types of addition follow their own rules.

        Sometimes 1+1 is 2. One Apple plus one Apple is two apples.

        Sometimes 1+1 is 1. Two true statements joined together in conjunction are true.

        Sometimes 1+1 is 0. Two 180° rotations is the same as if you didn't rotate the thing at all.

        If you don't define what kind of addition you're talking about, then it's not precise enough to talk through what is or isn't true.

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        • A [email protected]

          The center is the middle of the right and left.

          I am unsure what you are asking after that.

          halcyoncmdr@lemmy.worldH This user is from outside of this forum
          halcyoncmdr@lemmy.worldH This user is from outside of this forum
          [email protected]
          wrote on last edited by [email protected]
          #44

          They're referring to the shifting variance between political sides and the range expressed between them. The Overton Window usually.

          The Overton window is the range of subjects and arguments politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time. It is also known as the window of discourse. The key to the concept is that the window changes over time; it can shift, or shrink or expand. It exemplifies "the slow evolution of societal values and norms".

          Outside of this window you still have Left and Right, but they're the more extreme beliefs that the general populace doesn't currently accept. The window shifting over time means something that would have been considered absolutely insane 20 years ago, could be entirely mainstream now.

          A current example would be federal deployment of the military to handle local protests when there is no declared State of Emergency and local government doesn't need or want assistance.

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          • typewar@infosec.pubT [email protected]

            I remember there was one fact I was really beating my head on; A dishwasher should always have some food or other gunk on the dishes before starting the machine, otherwise the detergent will attack the coloring on the dishes instead.

            How has no company solved this problem? It makes no sense. Many people do wash their kitchenware so it doesn't stink up the entire dishwasher if it has been sitting for a while... idk.

            I would be happy to hear if anyone can help confirm or dismiss this.

            E This user is from outside of this forum
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            wrote on last edited by
            #45

            Phosphates were banned in dishwasher detergents in 2011, so most of the name brand companies switched to enzyme-based cleaners that use amylase and protease, which dissolve starches and proteins, respectively. And then some traditional detergent, which allows oil and water to mix, washes it all away.

            The nature of the enzymes are that as soon as they've broken up the starch or protein, they survive the reaction and can happily move onto the next starch or protein molecule. So if they're overactive, without enough targets, then any portion of the dishes that are sensitive to that particular cleaner is going to get a higher "dose" of that cleaner working specifically at it.

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            • A [email protected]
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              libb@jlai.luL This user is from outside of this forum
              libb@jlai.luL This user is from outside of this forum
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              wrote on last edited by
              #46

              Like with questions posted in a forum: at least, having little more to read than just its title 😉

              A 1 Reply Last reply
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              • A [email protected]
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                the_grass_trainer@lemmy.worldT This user is from outside of this forum
                the_grass_trainer@lemmy.worldT This user is from outside of this forum
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                wrote on last edited by [email protected]
                #47

                Depending on the fact I should be able to find sources for it on .ORG and .GOV sites.

                If i just find random blog posts, or facebook groups in the search results I take it with a grain of salt.

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                • A [email protected]
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                  wrote on last edited by
                  #48

                  None. I believe everything. Especially the contradictory parts. It's one of the powers granted to me by my true nature, revealed through the one true Slackmaster, J.R. "Bob" Dobbs.

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                  • A [email protected]
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                    wrote on last edited by
                    #49

                    At least 400 kilobyte.

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                    • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.worldH [email protected]

                      They're referring to the shifting variance between political sides and the range expressed between them. The Overton Window usually.

                      The Overton window is the range of subjects and arguments politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time. It is also known as the window of discourse. The key to the concept is that the window changes over time; it can shift, or shrink or expand. It exemplifies "the slow evolution of societal values and norms".

                      Outside of this window you still have Left and Right, but they're the more extreme beliefs that the general populace doesn't currently accept. The window shifting over time means something that would have been considered absolutely insane 20 years ago, could be entirely mainstream now.

                      A current example would be federal deployment of the military to handle local protests when there is no declared State of Emergency and local government doesn't need or want assistance.

                      N This user is from outside of this forum
                      N This user is from outside of this forum
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                      wrote on last edited by
                      #50

                      Yep, that's a big part of it..

                      But there's other aspects too (see my other comment replying to Arkouda)

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                      • A [email protected]
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                        blackmist@feddit.ukB This user is from outside of this forum
                        blackmist@feddit.ukB This user is from outside of this forum
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                        wrote on last edited by
                        #51

                        Depends if I agree with it.

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                        • A [email protected]
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                          starlinguk@lemmy.worldS This user is from outside of this forum
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                          wrote on last edited by
                          #52

                          I read proper peer reviewed research. I'm usually not a specialist on the subject, so I am unable to properly process any data available.

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                          • A [email protected]
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                            wrote on last edited by
                            #53

                            There are very few pieces of knowledge that I'd consider a fact. Rather, I tend to see those as the best current knowledge that might turn out to be false in the future. The fact of consciousness is among the only things in the entire universe that I see as absolutely being true. Pretty much anything else can just be an illusion.

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                            • A [email protected]
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                              wrote on last edited by [email protected]
                              #54

                              It's not so much the amount as the quality.

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                              • A [email protected]
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                                wrote on last edited by
                                #55

                                Logical proof, is it reasonable and do peers agree. That could be a tiny amount of data or a large amount of data. It is specific to the "something".

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                                • A [email protected]
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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #56

                                  Facts are hard to confirm, bullshit tends to reveal itself.

                                  So I have try not to cling to tightly to any given "fact", in case new evidence arrives.

                                  That said, is can be surprisingly easy to navigate many parts of life simply by avoiding confirmed bullshit.

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                                  • N [email protected]

                                    That it also changes in time and is not absolute. And also, in many ways, that it does it does not exist (in the sense that the "centre" in one dimension might be correlated with extremes in another)

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                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #57

                                    If the center, right, and left change over time how do you expect me to define "center" beyond that which is situated between left and right?

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                                    • O [email protected]

                                      There are very few pieces of knowledge that I'd consider a fact. Rather, I tend to see those as the best current knowledge that might turn out to be false in the future. The fact of consciousness is among the only things in the entire universe that I see as absolutely being true. Pretty much anything else can just be an illusion.

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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #58

                                      How do you know consciousness is "true" and not also an illusion created by the brain?

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                                      • libb@jlai.luL [email protected]

                                        Like with questions posted in a forum: at least, having little more to read than just its title 😉

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                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #59

                                        What elaboration do you require from the title to allow you to answer the question fully?

                                        libb@jlai.luL 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • A [email protected]
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                                          whotookkarl@lemmy.worldW This user is from outside of this forum
                                          whotookkarl@lemmy.worldW This user is from outside of this forum
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                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #60

                                          Hume had something like the wise apportion their confidence to the evidence, and Carl Sagan's extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence can apply. So if those are true the quality and type of data is going to depend on the claim of fact (friend says they bought a dog vs a dragon), and the amount of evidence depends on the claim and your general standard of evidence. If you're lowering or raising your standards for a specific claim that's usually going to mean there's a bias for or against it.

                                          tl;dr 42 pieces of data

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