Risk of large asteroid striking Earth falls to 1.5%
-
So you're telling me there's still a chance
-
There is this fun toy see/calculate the potential effect of any asteroid collision: https://neal.fun/asteroid-launcher/
If it hits any city, that is wiped out. If it hit anything else, chances are damages are moderate.
-
Here you simulate some of the effects. Pretty fun to drop an asteroid on some asshat from my youth's house. Less fun when it wiped out my entire city and evaporated my parents. Welp.. can't have it all I guess.
https://neal.fun/asteroid-launcher/ -
Everyone hoping there's still a chance, you need to remember... this is only a city-killer asteroid.
We need to hope for a much bigger asteroid.
-
As long as it falls on the right city, it would do the entire world a massive, once in 500 years favor.
-
I would sleep like a baby if it had these odds, lol.
-
DART successfully moved an astroid that was probably way bigger!
-
The way the world is going, it might not be a bad thing if it hits us.
-
The moon would shrug that rock off without noticing. Any changes in measurements (mass, velocity, etc.) would be minuscule.
-
Washington D.C. I hope.
-
If it does, I think a bunch of new religions are going to pop up.
-
I'll give mine, as long as someone helps with the shipping!
-
There would be enough warning to get people out of the city.
-
Would have been funny if it hit Buenos aires
-
The global astronomical community expects the odds of an asteroid to hit Earth in December 2032 to eventually fall to zero.
I love how they make it seem like some insider expertise versus knowing basics of how percentages work.
-
Unfortunately North America doesn't fall under the possible impact zone
-
I mean, without knowing what the number represents, it's not obvious why it goes up and then suddenly drops like this.
They basically predict a cross-section of places it could go through, which shrinks with improved data. If the Earth is still inside, that makes it's share go up. Eventually, it hits an edge and the share drops to zero suddenly
-
-
If it hit the middle of the ocean, it could be cool and nothing else.
