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  3. AfD is the most popular party in Germany for the first time, with a record 26%

AfD is the most popular party in Germany for the first time, with a record 26%

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  • L [email protected]

    Yes. That's a usual number for representative polling. Sometimes, they ask 1.000, sometimes 2.000. The other German polling institutes are doing the same.

    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/

    M This user is from outside of this forum
    M This user is from outside of this forum
    [email protected]
    wrote on last edited by
    #70

    So it is a poll of people who answer phone numbers they don’t recognize.

    L driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.brD 2 Replies Last reply
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    • M [email protected]

      So it is a poll of people who answer phone numbers they don’t recognize.

      L This user is from outside of this forum
      L This user is from outside of this forum
      [email protected]
      wrote on last edited by
      #71

      You can of course criticize that, but Forsa exists since 1984 and they are not known for publishing unrealistic polls. The polls are not the problem here. The people turning off their brains and voting for the far right are the problem.

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      • R [email protected]

        They just asked 1502 people by phone.

        driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.brD This user is from outside of this forum
        driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.brD This user is from outside of this forum
        [email protected]
        wrote on last edited by
        #72

        That's how statistics works. You take a sample and interpret the reality based on that sample. When you get a blood exam, you don't need to check all the blood, you take a sample and based on that get a result.

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        • C [email protected]

          I'm not calming down. This dumb shit happens just far too often lately. I have no idea, why people insinuate things others never said and burn that strawman down, but I'm getting too tired and more and more pissed off by it, to the point where I wonder if it's even worth it or I should rather stop discussing.

          Shit's annoying AF.

          avidamoeba@lemmy.caA This user is from outside of this forum
          avidamoeba@lemmy.caA This user is from outside of this forum
          [email protected]
          wrote on last edited by
          #73

          You should stop discussing because what you call a straw man is a perfectly reasonable interpretation of your comment. If you don't want it to be open to interpretation, you should be more clear, rather than get mad at people taking one of the reasonable interpretations.

          C 1 Reply Last reply
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          • thebat@lemmy.worldT [email protected]

            Germany, you're supposed to be good guys this round.

            P This user is from outside of this forum
            P This user is from outside of this forum
            [email protected]
            wrote on last edited by
            #74

            Germany is the America of the EU, since Britain left

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • sunshine@lemmy.caS [email protected]
              This post did not contain any content.
              U This user is from outside of this forum
              U This user is from outside of this forum
              [email protected]
              wrote on last edited by
              #75

              Many of those aren't real votes but "protest" support. Very dumb imo. They're hoping its a wakeup to the other parties but it really just emboldens the afd.

              M P D 3 Replies Last reply
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              • G [email protected]

                Source: https://dkriesel.com/sonntagsfrage

                J This user is from outside of this forum
                J This user is from outside of this forum
                [email protected]
                wrote on last edited by
                #76

                So CDU is just AfD in disguise...

                F 1 Reply Last reply
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                • avidamoeba@lemmy.caA [email protected]

                  You should stop discussing because what you call a straw man is a perfectly reasonable interpretation of your comment. If you don't want it to be open to interpretation, you should be more clear, rather than get mad at people taking one of the reasonable interpretations.

                  C This user is from outside of this forum
                  C This user is from outside of this forum
                  [email protected]
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #77

                  About as reasonable an interpretation as asking you if you mean humans shouldn't ever feel emotions by saying "Calm down".

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                  • S [email protected]

                    I see a growth trend that if it continues will suck even more in a few years

                    avidamoeba@lemmy.caA This user is from outside of this forum
                    avidamoeba@lemmy.caA This user is from outside of this forum
                    [email protected]
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #78

                    This is the important insight. The absolute numbers in any poll aren't that interesting. The trends are.

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                    • U [email protected]

                      Many of those aren't real votes but "protest" support. Very dumb imo. They're hoping its a wakeup to the other parties but it really just emboldens the afd.

                      M This user is from outside of this forum
                      M This user is from outside of this forum
                      [email protected]
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #79

                      Please look at the US and what's happening here right now.

                      A significant portion of Trump's voters in 2016 were protest anti-establishment voters and they've been converted into full on Fascist voters in the 8 years since then.

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                      • U [email protected]

                        Many of those aren't real votes but "protest" support. Very dumb imo. They're hoping its a wakeup to the other parties but it really just emboldens the afd.

                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                        [email protected]
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #80

                        Are they dumber than the parties that didn't get the message?

                        U 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • U [email protected]

                          Many of those aren't real votes but "protest" support. Very dumb imo. They're hoping its a wakeup to the other parties but it really just emboldens the afd.

                          D This user is from outside of this forum
                          D This user is from outside of this forum
                          [email protected]
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #81

                          Nah I don't buy it. Nazis voting for nazis know what they are doing. AfDs plan is clear, like project 2025 was and their voters like what they see and should be treated and handled accordingly.

                          U 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • arakhis_@feddit.orgA [email protected]

                            Everybody in Germany. Please talk to family members that you don't talk to about how this is dangerous to you. I know I have these in my family that I should invest in instead of always talking to the closest ones. Also make sure to beat them with genuine questions that break open their confidence in the reasoning with the socratic way (epistemology)

                            1. What? Belief.
                            2. Why? Reason
                            3. How? Method for Proof

                            Or

                            1. Identify Persuasion
                            2. Question "What is it actually", definition
                              --In between ask for scale 1-10 how confident into the topic are you and importance queries
                            3. Why do you believe that?
                            4. How could one determine whether this is really true?
                              --In between the scale and importance queries
                            5. Best argument for and strongest argument against?
                            6. Reflect, i.e. repeat what has been said in your own words
                              eighthly

                            It's not about being well versed in the topic of conversation
                            But good questions

                            D This user is from outside of this forum
                            D This user is from outside of this forum
                            [email protected]
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #82

                            This!

                            The best strategy is to engage in genuine conversations.

                            Most people just label the unknowledgable as stupid and attempt to desperately convince them with a bombardment of facts and counter-arguments. Even worse is just calling them "Nazi" and leave it at that. This is futile with some people who have gone down too deep into the hate-train of social media. They will immediately mentally blockade what you're saying and the cycle continues.

                            It's way more effective to get into a friendly conversation and actually engage with what they are saying. Listen. Ask questions. Listen. Ask questions. Understand why they believe what they believe. Be open to their arguments, however rediculous you might find them.

                            The most important thing you need to realize that it's not their fault and they are not stupid! They are just the output of their environment. Everyone has emotions. And everyone deals with them differently. Everyone has their environment. And everyone sources their information from that environment. Everyone has parts of their lives where they are misinformed or less educated than an expert in the field. You too! Consequently, the way to change someone's belief is to change their environment while understanding their emotional basis.

                            arakhis_@feddit.orgA 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • arakhis_@feddit.orgA [email protected]

                              Everybody in Germany. Please talk to family members that you don't talk to about how this is dangerous to you. I know I have these in my family that I should invest in instead of always talking to the closest ones. Also make sure to beat them with genuine questions that break open their confidence in the reasoning with the socratic way (epistemology)

                              1. What? Belief.
                              2. Why? Reason
                              3. How? Method for Proof

                              Or

                              1. Identify Persuasion
                              2. Question "What is it actually", definition
                                --In between ask for scale 1-10 how confident into the topic are you and importance queries
                              3. Why do you believe that?
                              4. How could one determine whether this is really true?
                                --In between the scale and importance queries
                              5. Best argument for and strongest argument against?
                              6. Reflect, i.e. repeat what has been said in your own words
                                eighthly

                              It's not about being well versed in the topic of conversation
                              But good questions

                              K This user is from outside of this forum
                              K This user is from outside of this forum
                              [email protected]
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #83

                              Totally. Good one is showing genuinely curiosity on problems we face. For example, what would be AfD solution for tenant issues and protections? The USA can be also a good one. What I mean is the endorsement from Elon Musk for the AfD and AfDs endorsement of Trumps, whom they dislike as well. Encouraging them to catch up with relatives from the USA and how they're doing with the current republican regime.

                              With some however it's too cumbersome or fruitless to argue and discuss in my opinion. So I stick to calling out the lack of serious or sensible solutions and stirred up hatred. There are enough cognitive dissonance, economy incorrect conclusions to call out...
                              Basically some Fascists will only waste your time - good YT Video.

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                              • T [email protected]

                                If the current government is even willing and able to serve their term to its end (the previous one didn't), and actually improve the situation enough so people stop running after some rat catchers with a simple lie as the supposed solution.

                                phneutral@feddit.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                                phneutral@feddit.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                                [email protected]
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #84

                                But the Left and Greens are in opposition — this is a chance. Hopefully they are able to mobilise as well in the coming years.

                                T 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • sunshine@lemmy.caS [email protected]
                                  This post did not contain any content.
                                  J This user is from outside of this forum
                                  J This user is from outside of this forum
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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #85

                                  Someone explain, are these the Nazis?

                                  R R H J 4 Replies Last reply
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                                  • J [email protected]

                                    Someone explain, are these the Nazis?

                                    R This user is from outside of this forum
                                    R This user is from outside of this forum
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                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #86

                                    they are the neo-Nazis

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                                    • sunshine@lemmy.caS [email protected]
                                      This post did not contain any content.
                                      T This user is from outside of this forum
                                      T This user is from outside of this forum
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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #87

                                      Germany should have actually denazified instead of the joke they did. Also should have reunited the two germanys instead of what happened which was basically a west German conquest of east Germany contributing greatly to its impoverershment.

                                      W 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • phneutral@feddit.orgP [email protected]

                                        But the Left and Greens are in opposition — this is a chance. Hopefully they are able to mobilise as well in the coming years.

                                        T This user is from outside of this forum
                                        T This user is from outside of this forum
                                        [email protected]
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #88

                                        Socially, the Greens stand exactly where the "Social Democrats" stand. They are a party of privileged academics who are plagued by their ecological conscience. And the Left still has Putin bootlicker vibes (they call it "peace"), even though the worst Putin bootlickers left them to form their own party.

                                        phneutral@feddit.orgP 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • sunshine@lemmy.caS [email protected]
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                                          x00z@lemmy.worldX This user is from outside of this forum
                                          x00z@lemmy.worldX This user is from outside of this forum
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                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #89

                                          AfD is using fascist manipulation using propaganda (always putting immigrants and immigrant attacks in the spotlight) to gain power and discriminate immigrants even more, causing more retaliation which in turn makes people give the AfD even more power.

                                          In a tolerant society we should not be tolerant of such intolerance.

                                          W R 2 Replies Last reply
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